northjaxpro wrote::uarrow: ahh, there is a reason folks why the latest west shifts in the models are happening.
Just take a good look at the 700 mb steering. The ridge is stout currently extendind west to the Central Gulf.
The ttough is well back yo the west currently and I do not think the trough will deeply amplify like what GFS showed yesterday in its model runs.
I really hope I am wrong and that the GFS is going to send a Fall like amplified trough to come and get shoved away off the U.S. East Coast. However, I do not see that hsppening fast enough. Isaias likely willl be a major problem for many this weekend. into early next week from Florida north up the U.S. East Coast.
I can not believe the Bahamss is likely going to get heavily impacted by another cyclone so soon after the Dorian catastrophe.
The Bahamas are a HUGE climo hot spot. Even more so than the "Cow Catcher" of the Outer Banks. I'm not surprised at all. That island chain almost literally has cyclone railroad tracks laid out in the atmosphere above them.