#2280 Postby 869MB » Fri Aug 07, 2020 10:39 pm
Analyzing some of these indicators being presented for the past month feels akin to the countdown of the hours after midnight where the SPC has just issued a High Risk for the Day 1 Convective Outlook where a large multi-state severe weather & tornado outbreak is forecasted with a high chance of numerous, widespread long-tracked strong and violent tornadoes. After the SPC issues that Day 1 outlook you know nothing is never set in stone and unseen weather parameters may occur where their forecast may bust. But as the hours count down to the early afternoon, all of the necessary severe weather ingredients appear to come together in order to fuel the outbreak as originally forecasted.
That’s where I feel we are now with respect to this 2020 hurricane season, in those early morning hours of a possible significant severe weather/tornado outbreak. Yeah there are possible unseen weather parameters that may occur which could limit or prevent an outbreak, but it appears to be increasingly unlikely as each hour passes.
5 likes