Robust Tropical Wave SW of Cabo Verde Islands (Is Invest 98L)

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cycloneye
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave Along the Coast of Africa

#61 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 16, 2020 4:07 pm

SFLcane wrote:Folks this one just has the look! Very impressed.. odds should continue to go for development.

https://i.imgur.com/qGuASvz.gif


Will be invest very soon.
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave Along the Coast of Africa

#62 Postby SFLcane » Sun Aug 16, 2020 4:17 pm

cycloneye wrote:
SFLcane wrote:Folks this one just has the look! Very impressed.. odds should continue to go for development.

https://i.imgur.com/qGuASvz.gif


Will be invest very soon.


Yes my friend not to long now. I am impressed by the convective activity already.
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave Along the Coast of Africa

#63 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Aug 16, 2020 4:47 pm



There will be ridging north of it. It’s going west, not nw. That looks suspect to me.
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave Along the Coast of Africa

#64 Postby toad strangler » Sun Aug 16, 2020 5:16 pm

Cpv17 wrote:


There will be ridging north of it. It’s going west, not nw. That looks suspect to me.


You love Texas. :lol:
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave Along the Coast of Africa

#65 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Aug 16, 2020 5:35 pm

toad strangler wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:


There will be ridging north of it. It’s going west, not nw. That looks suspect to me.


You love Texas. :lol:


There’s been a lot of talk about strong Bermuda high ridging. That’s why I said that. Not because I live in Texas.
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave Along the Coast of Africa

#66 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 16, 2020 6:40 pm

Another tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
well to the southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large
area of cloudiness and disorganized showers. The wave is forecast
to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and
environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for
the development of a tropical depression during the middle-to-
latter part of this week while the system moves across the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


Image
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave Along the Coast of Africa

#67 Postby Ubuntwo » Sun Aug 16, 2020 8:29 pm

Image
Looks vigorous with a strong vorticity signature:
Image
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#68 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Aug 16, 2020 8:36 pm

When is this expected to become an Invest??


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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#69 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Aug 16, 2020 8:41 pm

This AEW gives me Frances vibes.


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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#70 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 16, 2020 8:46 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:When is this expected to become an Invest??


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Is comming soon but they will decide when is going to be up.
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#71 Postby ouragans » Sun Aug 16, 2020 8:59 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:When is this expected to become an Invest??


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Generally when it reaches 20% at 48 hrs
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#72 Postby SFLcane » Sun Aug 16, 2020 9:09 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:This AEW gives me Frances vibes.


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Same here... should be an invest overnight if not tomorrow morning.
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#73 Postby storm4u » Sun Aug 16, 2020 9:25 pm

This could be one of the big ones this year.. hope it's a fish
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#74 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 16, 2020 11:29 pm

Caribbean cruiser intensifying.

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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#75 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Aug 16, 2020 11:30 pm

storm4u wrote:This could be one of the big ones this year.. hope it's a fish


I hope so too but no model is recurving this and the 0zGFS has a strong tropical storm/hurricane in the western Caribbean
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#76 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 16, 2020 11:34 pm

Meets with the Yucatán Penninsula.

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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#77 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sun Aug 16, 2020 11:36 pm

cycloneye wrote:Meets with the Yucatán Penninsula.

https://i.imgur.com/d2xfEIq.png

the gfs showing a system developing and being below 995 mb seems like big deal for a 2020 storm lol.
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#78 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 16, 2020 11:37 pm

BOC.

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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#79 Postby ColdMiser123 » Sun Aug 16, 2020 11:38 pm

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.3N 40.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 19.08.2020 60 14.3N 40.6W 1009 27
0000UTC 20.08.2020 72 16.2N 44.9W 1009 33
1200UTC 20.08.2020 84 16.9N 49.5W 1009 34
0000UTC 21.08.2020 96 17.5N 53.1W 1008 33
1200UTC 21.08.2020 108 18.0N 55.6W 1006 36
0000UTC 22.08.2020 120 18.9N 58.3W 1004 38
1200UTC 22.08.2020 132 19.5N 61.5W 1001 41
0000UTC 23.08.2020 144 20.1N 64.7W 998 47
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Re: Robust Tropical Wave SSE of Cabo Verde Islands

#80 Postby sma10 » Sun Aug 16, 2020 11:45 pm

ColdMiser123 wrote:NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.3N 40.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 19.08.2020 60 14.3N 40.6W 1009 27
0000UTC 20.08.2020 72 16.2N 44.9W 1009 33
1200UTC 20.08.2020 84 16.9N 49.5W 1009 34
0000UTC 21.08.2020 96 17.5N 53.1W 1008 33
1200UTC 21.08.2020 108 18.0N 55.6W 1006 36
0000UTC 22.08.2020 120 18.9N 58.3W 1004 38
1200UTC 22.08.2020 132 19.5N 61.5W 1001 41
0000UTC 23.08.2020 144 20.1N 64.7W 998 47


Flirting with PR on wnw heading
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