ATL: LAURA - Models

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BobHarlem
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#521 Postby BobHarlem » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:44 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:Is the ICON really about to put 2 canes in the gulf?!


Looks like a yes.

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Last edited by BobHarlem on Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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SFLcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#522 Postby SFLcane » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:44 pm

SFL would be in the northern quadrant of a major hurricane.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#523 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:44 pm

00z ICON rides up parallel to the West FL Coast heading for the panhandle.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#524 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:45 pm

Gfs on the move. 48 hrs so far
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#525 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:47 pm

toad strangler wrote:00z ICON rides up parallel to the West FL Coast heading for the panhandle.


Gets down to 950mb offshore of the big bend
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#526 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:48 pm

Gfs 60hrs our and zilch
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#527 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:48 pm

:flag:
Last edited by toad strangler on Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#528 Postby caneseddy » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:50 pm

toad strangler wrote:00Z CMC straddles the N coast of Hispaniola, crosses the long width of Cuba and emerges into the GOM to eventually make landfall on the SE coast of TX as a formidable hurricane.


I think that was last night's run. TT has not yet updated the CMC for tonight
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#529 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:51 pm

caneseddy wrote:
toad strangler wrote:00Z CMC straddles the N coast of Hispaniola, crosses the long width of Cuba and emerges into the GOM to eventually make landfall on the SE coast of TX as a formidable hurricane.


I think that was last night's run. TT has not yet updated the CMC for tonight


ahhhhh CRAP :spam:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#530 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:51 pm

toad strangler wrote:00Z CMC straddles the N coast of Hispaniola, crosses the long width of Cuba and emerges into the GOM to eventually make landfall on the SE coast of TX as a formidable hurricane.


So it’s also further south? It was through the straights 12Z
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#531 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:51 pm

that is a scary run from the icon....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#532 Postby SFLcane » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:52 pm

toad strangler wrote:00Z CMC straddles the N coast of Hispaniola, crosses the long width of Cuba and emerges into the GOM to eventually make landfall on the SE coast of TX as a formidable hurricane.


Were are you getting the 00z?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#533 Postby caneseddy » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:52 pm

That was last night's run
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#534 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:53 pm

GFS with absolutely nothing. Typical.

Down to 1006mb.
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#535 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:53 pm

SFLcane wrote:
toad strangler wrote:00Z CMC straddles the N coast of Hispaniola, crosses the long width of Cuba and emerges into the GOM to eventually make landfall on the SE coast of TX as a formidable hurricane.


Were are you getting the 00z?


Nevermind it I jumped the gun and post last nights 00z. OY VEY what a bush league mistake :oops:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#536 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:54 pm

What is the JMA Model used for? It shows the ridge breakdown and then build right back in at 72 hrs
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#537 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:54 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:GFS with absolutely nothing. Typical.


Sharp wave through 78hrs heading for PR
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#538 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:55 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:GFS with absolutely nothing. Typical.


Something is seriously wrong with this model. It’s been completely useless until a storm actually forms
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#539 Postby Kazmit » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:56 pm

Ready to get shredded through the islands for the hundredth time.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#540 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:56 pm

GFS will not clear PR on 00z. Heading right for the GA's and Westbound @84hrs
Last edited by toad strangler on Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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