ATL: LAURA - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
BobHarlem
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2108
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:11 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#521 Postby BobHarlem » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:44 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:Is the ICON really about to put 2 canes in the gulf?!


Looks like a yes.

Image
Last edited by BobHarlem on Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2 likes   

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#522 Postby SFLcane » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:44 pm

SFL would be in the northern quadrant of a major hurricane.
2 likes   

User avatar
toad strangler
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4543
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
Location: Earth
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#523 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:44 pm

00z ICON rides up parallel to the West FL Coast heading for the panhandle.
2 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#524 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:45 pm

Gfs on the move. 48 hrs so far
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#525 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:47 pm

toad strangler wrote:00z ICON rides up parallel to the West FL Coast heading for the panhandle.


Gets down to 950mb offshore of the big bend
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#526 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:48 pm

Gfs 60hrs our and zilch
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
toad strangler
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4543
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
Location: Earth
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#527 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:48 pm

:flag:
Last edited by toad strangler on Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

caneseddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1172
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 9:31 pm
Location: Plantation, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#528 Postby caneseddy » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:50 pm

toad strangler wrote:00Z CMC straddles the N coast of Hispaniola, crosses the long width of Cuba and emerges into the GOM to eventually make landfall on the SE coast of TX as a formidable hurricane.


I think that was last night's run. TT has not yet updated the CMC for tonight
3 likes   

User avatar
toad strangler
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4543
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
Location: Earth
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#529 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:51 pm

caneseddy wrote:
toad strangler wrote:00Z CMC straddles the N coast of Hispaniola, crosses the long width of Cuba and emerges into the GOM to eventually make landfall on the SE coast of TX as a formidable hurricane.


I think that was last night's run. TT has not yet updated the CMC for tonight


ahhhhh CRAP :spam:
3 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#530 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:51 pm

toad strangler wrote:00Z CMC straddles the N coast of Hispaniola, crosses the long width of Cuba and emerges into the GOM to eventually make landfall on the SE coast of TX as a formidable hurricane.


So it’s also further south? It was through the straights 12Z
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

AxaltaRacing24
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1753
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Jul 27, 2016 11:14 am
Location: Jupiter, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#531 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:51 pm

that is a scary run from the icon....
2 likes   

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#532 Postby SFLcane » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:52 pm

toad strangler wrote:00Z CMC straddles the N coast of Hispaniola, crosses the long width of Cuba and emerges into the GOM to eventually make landfall on the SE coast of TX as a formidable hurricane.


Were are you getting the 00z?
0 likes   

caneseddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1172
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 9:31 pm
Location: Plantation, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#533 Postby caneseddy » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:52 pm

That was last night's run
0 likes   

AutoPenalti
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4030
Age: 29
Joined: Mon Aug 17, 2015 4:16 pm
Location: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#534 Postby AutoPenalti » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:53 pm

GFS with absolutely nothing. Typical.

Down to 1006mb.
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.


Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)

TCVN
is a weighted averaged

User avatar
toad strangler
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4543
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
Location: Earth
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#535 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:53 pm

SFLcane wrote:
toad strangler wrote:00Z CMC straddles the N coast of Hispaniola, crosses the long width of Cuba and emerges into the GOM to eventually make landfall on the SE coast of TX as a formidable hurricane.


Were are you getting the 00z?


Nevermind it I jumped the gun and post last nights 00z. OY VEY what a bush league mistake :oops:
2 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#536 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:54 pm

What is the JMA Model used for? It shows the ridge breakdown and then build right back in at 72 hrs
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
toad strangler
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4543
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
Location: Earth
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#537 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:54 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:GFS with absolutely nothing. Typical.


Sharp wave through 78hrs heading for PR
0 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#538 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:55 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:GFS with absolutely nothing. Typical.


Something is seriously wrong with this model. It’s been completely useless until a storm actually forms
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2124
Age: 22
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg, VA / Bermuda

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#539 Postby Kazmit » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:56 pm

Ready to get shredded through the islands for the hundredth time.

Image
2 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
toad strangler
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4543
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
Location: Earth
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models

#540 Postby toad strangler » Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:56 pm

GFS will not clear PR on 00z. Heading right for the GA's and Westbound @84hrs
Last edited by toad strangler on Tue Aug 18, 2020 10:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   


Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests