
ATL: LAURA - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Key Largo, 942mb, 130 knots
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Hard to believe less than a week ago everyone was asking when the models will even show a closed low somewhere in the tropics, now we have the opposite problem almost overnight
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models


Well gang, the model stuff has arrived.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Doesn't HWRF always show every storm turning into a major hurricane?
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
That is about as mean looking system we have seen heading towards dade county in awhilesupercane4867 wrote:Looks very CAT5-ish
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Good thing the HWRF is never accurate in terms of intensity this far out.
I do think it's on to something with development of a TC in 24-48 hours, but beyond that nope.
I do think it's on to something with development of a TC in 24-48 hours, but beyond that nope.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
canes92 wrote:Doesn't HWRF always show every storm turning into a major hurricane?
It has a tendency to oversell cyclones (see: 777mb Mangkhut), but to its credit it was more reserved and pretty much spot-on with Isaias (other than 1 or 2 runs).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
canes92 wrote:Doesn't HWRF always show every storm turning into a major hurricane?
Well it actually just dropped 97L and was never really bullish on it as far as I can remember.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
So the question remains...what does most every other model have that the GFS and Euro are lacking???
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
I know that its just the HWRF, so we shouldn’t pay attention to it,
but what’s concerning is that it keeps making the storm stronger and stronger
but what’s concerning is that it keeps making the storm stronger and stronger
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
supercane4867 wrote:130kt landfall. Also heading for the Gulf.
https://i.imgur.com/KiJcfHR.png
https://i.imgur.com/ZOjpjhj.png
Well that’s concerning
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ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
18z HWRF has a major hitting extreme south Florida Monday night


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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Intensity is a crapshoot so we should not focus on it. What we should be concerned is that the majority of model runs and the ensembles, with the exception of GFS operational, have all been in agreement of taking 98L north of the islands without land interaction towards the Bahamas, in their most recent runs. That's what we should be more concerned about, not intensity.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Andy pours cold water on the 2nd tier of models ...
http://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1296236633294069761
http://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1296236633294069761
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
Does anybody have the 18z Euro??
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- SFLcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
WeatherEmperor wrote:Does anybody have the 18z Euro??
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Nada..poof
Waiting on EPS
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