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shiny-pebble wrote:Huh..... FWIW.... https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200824/70edbd675a811e0d03f0d58354715c57.jpg
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KWT wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:HMON is weakening the storm in the middle of the GOM, any idea why this is happening? METS? Shear or dry air in play? Very confusing run to say the least.
Basically its a duff run from the very get go, its![]()
We will see what recon finds soon enough...but reality is I think HMON has just gone off the deep end on its 18z run...simple as that.
Basically it kills off the current LLC 3hrs ago and then flings around the next 12hrs trying to form a new one within the broad gyre, finally manages to pull somrthing together in another 30hrs or so.
However given the LLC clearly hasn't died 3hrs ago, its a trash run and everything afterwards is just multiplying upon that starting error by HMON meaning its trying to play catch up.
shiny-pebble wrote:Huh..... FWIW.... https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200824/70edbd675a811e0d03f0d58354715c57.jpg
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Maybe shear?? But I just think this whole run was off Laura is more organized than it initializedtarheelprogrammer wrote:shiny-pebble wrote:Huh..... FWIW.... https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200824/70edbd675a811e0d03f0d58354715c57.jpg
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What is the limiting factors?
eastcoastFL wrote:shiny-pebble wrote:Huh..... FWIW.... https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200824/70edbd675a811e0d03f0d58354715c57.jpg
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Looks like Marco
cheezyWXguy wrote:Fancy1001 wrote:Hammy wrote:
Putting the actual pressure value aside, I'm noticing a trend with this and a few other models towards peaking over water and then weakening some before landfall.
Yeah, wonder why that is?
Probably due to the hard right the models show that shunts it into landfall in LA. The trough steering it may be imparting some shear.
Fancy1001 wrote:Looks like the Hwrf will be taking laura west into texas considering how much more south it is.
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