ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Highteeld]

Current pressure probably around 994-995. the Noaa plane isn't too far off thus far with extrap pressures. seems like the errors happen at deeper levels

[CrazyC83]

Latest data, even if incomplete, supports 55 kt at least.

[cfisher]

recon confirming it's a broad low-level swirl

[3090]

Impressive blowup of hot towers into sunset.

https://i.imgur.com/GgJX57Z.gif

My goodness that is impressive. Hard to determine the exact LLC from that. Going to be interesting to see if Laura is truly having more of a more northerly component in her movement. Could have implications down the road. We'll see. i say somewhere between Lafayette and Lake Charles.

[3090]

LMAO


...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING LAURA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...
8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 22.1°N 82.8°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

What is funny about this data?

4 clicks north....6 clicks west. No change in direction.

[NDG]

Like I said, nothing but southerly winds and much higher pressures where they estimated the CoC to be.

[Highteeld]

LLC looks to be over land based on radar

[Highteeld]

Like I said, nothing but southerly winds and much higher pressures where they estimated the CoC to be.

https://i.imgur.com/q8s7Mr0.jpg

That location they have isn't right

[eastcoastFL]

LMAO


...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING LAURA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...
8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 22.1°N 82.8°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

I can’t remember another storm that only gets stronger on land.

[Highteeld]

the center jogged northeast of the little island (trying to avoid land as much as possible XD) and now appears to be heading westerly over Cuba. neat stuff

[toad strangler]

Laura certainly looks like she is going to be a problem for someone along the NW Gulf coast. One thing to watch is just how much the Saharan air layer currently to the north over Florida as seen on this loop might impact how strong she gets in the GOM. The skies are hazy in South Florida due to the SAL and it looks to be heading west. Hoping that there is just enough over the GOM to hold her back from bombing out:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=24

That map you keep posting is NOT Saharan Air Layer.

[jlauderdal]

LMAO


...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING LAURA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...
8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 22.1°N 82.8°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

I can’t remember another storm that only gets stronger on land.

Katrina did ok coming across florida

[3090]

LMAO


...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING LAURA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...
8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 22.1°N 82.8°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

I can’t remember another storm that only gets stronger on land.

Katrina did ok coming across florida

But I do not remember Katrina completely and her entire mass crossing Florida like Laura is doing crossing Cuba.

[AutoPenalti]

LMAO


...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING LAURA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...
8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 22.1°N 82.8°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

I can’t remember another storm that only gets stronger on land.

Katrina did ok coming across florida

Florida is flat, and it doesn’t help that it goes through wetlands.

[AnnularCane]

LMAO


...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING LAURA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...
8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 22.1°N 82.8°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

I can’t remember another storm that only gets stronger on land.

Fay 2008?

[Emmett_Brown]

LMAO


...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING LAURA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...
8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 22.1°N 82.8°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

I can’t remember another storm that only gets stronger on land.

Maybe it's a little bit of the brown ocean effect? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brown_ocean_effect#:~:text=The%20brown%20ocean%20effect%20is,even%20intensify%20over%20land%20surfaces.

[eastcoastFL]

LMAO


...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING LAURA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...
8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 22.1°N 82.8°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

I can’t remember another storm that only gets stronger on land.

Katrina did ok coming across florida

I always forget she hit Florida first, it was very uneventful in palm beach. Did she get stronger? We also don’t have mountains, we’re a giant swamp.

[got ants?]

the center jogged northeast of the little island (trying to avoid land as much as possible XD) and now appears to be heading westerly over Cuba. neat stuff

Isla de la Juventad

[eastcoastFL]

LMAO


...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING LAURA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...
8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 24
Location: 22.1°N 82.8°W
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

I can’t remember another storm that only gets stronger on land.

Fay 2008?

She was the weirdest storm ever!

[catskillfire51]

I wonder if where both recon planes just crossed are where they are going to try to look or if it's just another meso