#4653 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 25, 2020 7:11 pm
cfisher wrote:cfisher wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:I am not seeing that. I do see a storm on the verge of RI though, sadly.

It's not much, but there's a stream of warmer cloud tops east of the center
Ah, so people are saying it's just subsidence from the intense convection.
Yes definitely this, you could see it forming when the big blow up over the western eyewall.
As others have said 85kts by 06z is RI already, and my guess is based on recent trends that is not at all unlikely...even if it misses that I simply can't see this storm not undergoing RI at this point based on the way it looks and the setup around it.
Toad, Michael only really cleared out a solid eye and intense eyewall around 125-130kts as it headed into landfall, before that it constantly had a ragged quadrant in terms of its eyewall.
Last edited by
KWT on Tue Aug 25, 2020 7:13 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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