ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[supercane4867]

The eye is really starting to clear out on IR and visible.

[Beef Stew]

I've never seen a storm bomb out like this, it's so graceful..

Watching Michael was like this. A beast that couldn't be stopped. Man, L or M is the new I it seems...

[SCHawkFan]

Any idea how accurate this is? Surprised by the high maximum wind speeds so far west in Houston

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200826/1b7a684d73406439b7fed75728e74fcd.jpg

It says maximum wind threat, so a graphic showing what is possible depending on where the storm has landfall. It does not show probability.

[TheHurricaneGod]

There is some shear right in the area where Laura is projected to landfall.

[BigB0882]

I know some people in Jasper, Texas and they said yesterday the 4-lane highway running north from Beaumont was very busy. People appear to be getting away from the Golden Triangle.

As they should. My family is in Beaumont and my brother is leaving today (should have left very early this morning). He had cops knocking on his door yesterday telling them they had to go. He explained they were leaving in the morning and the cops went on to the next house. Some people will ignore the order, my dad is staying because my grandfather refuses to leave and he wont leave him alone.

[otowntiger]

Any idea how accurate this is? Surprised by the high maximum wind speeds so far west in Houston

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200826/1b7a684d73406439b7fed75728e74fcd.jpg

That can't be correct.

Agreed. I think that has to be from an earlier projection of landfall being further west than the current prognostication.

[cfisher]

Get ready for another huge core drop once this convection fully wraps

[eastcoastFL]

[Beef Stew]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1298615932726763520

[AnnularCane]

Google Maps shows traffic as being pretty light in this area and further inland. I guess most people who were going to leave must have left yesterday.

[shawn67]

I've never seen a storm bomb out like this, it's so graceful..

For the old guard this is very similar to what happened to both Katrina and Rita back in 2005, pace of intensification is keeping up with those two as well at the moment, though it won't have quite as much time as those two.

I keep thinking farther back to Charley in 2004...

[tolakram]

13:47Z - 8:47am CDT

[KWT]

I've never seen a storm bomb out like this, it's so graceful..

For the old guard this is very similar to what happened to both Katrina and Rita back in 2005, pace of intensification is keeping up with those two as well at the moment, though it won't have quite as much time as those two.

I keep thinking farther back to Charley in 2004...

The first hurricane I ever tracked on this site though i wasn't quite a member yet (Charley was the push i needed), Charley certainly was amazing, though that was one of those small rapid spin ups. This is more akin to a Rita/Katrina given its larger size.

Cool to see the soundings showing there is some shear by the coast, as others have said though its probably going to make little real difference by that point.

[supercane4867]

[cfisher]

i still think it tries to bottom out near 915

[GCANE]

Two towers 180-degrees apart.
Perfect position for optimum core heating.
Still building cirrus on top of the CDO.
No sign from this perspective of any slow down in intensification.

[BYG Jacob]

This is going to join Hannah and Isaias in the category of could have been so much worse if it had one more day to intensify.

This is already a major hurricane dude

[KWT]

This is going to join Hannah and Isaias in the category of could have been so much worse if it had one more day to intensify.

I'm not sure its really in that group, I mean its likely to come in as a 4, maybe top end 3. It'll be up there with Harvey/Katrina for the 2nd strongest Gulf landfalling hurricane since 2000, I hope it doesn't approach what Michael did!

Have to say its CDO really has become rather large now, and indeed the whole system has definately increased in size in the last 12-18hrs.

[sponger]

Any idea how accurate this is? Surprised by the high maximum wind speeds so far west in Houston

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200826/1b7a684d73406439b7fed75728e74fcd.jpg

The question is, what is this map going to look like when the updated intensity and size is taken into account?

[Beef Stew]

The wording in the 15z advisory is going to be severe. We'll likely have a borderline-CAT 4 with a cleared eye by then at this rate.