ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5521 Postby NDG » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:30 am

txwatcher91 wrote:
NDG wrote:
Chemmers wrote:954 mb wow 6 mb since last pass


That's the extrap measurement, on the last pass extrap showed 957 mb, but it still is a nice drop.


Last pass was 957.5, this pass is 952.9 so almost a 5mb drop in the extrap in one pass.


That's correct, I missed the 952.9mb reading on the report.
1 likes   
Top
NotoSans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1380
Age: 25
Joined: Sun Sep 27, 2015 1:15 am
Location: Toronto
Contact:
Contact NotoSans

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5522 Postby NotoSans » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:31 am

HDOBs from AF Hurricane Hunters are down again when they're about to conduct an NE pass LOL
2 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
Top
Hurricane Mike
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 644
Joined: Tue Apr 10, 2018 7:44 am

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5523 Postby Hurricane Mike » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:31 am

Good grief.

 https://twitter.com/BrennanMatherne/status/1298594141249699840


5 likes   
Top
Fancy1001
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 452
Joined: Thu Jul 16, 2020 10:16 pm

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5524 Postby Fancy1001 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:34 am

NotoSans wrote:HDOBs from AF Hurricane Hunters are down again when they're about to conduct an NE pass LOL

Of course.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Extratropical94
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3538
Age: 30
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2010 6:36 am
Location: Hamburg, Germany
Contact:
Contact Extratropical94

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5525 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:36 am

957.6 extrapolated from NOAA, last pass 90 minutes ago had 959.0
1 likes   
54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5526 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:37 am

Holy moly this got way worse overnight. :eek: Not that I wasn't expecting it but still. What a beast.
3 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
St0rmTh0r
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 369
Joined: Tue Jul 14, 2020 8:04 pm

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5527 Postby St0rmTh0r » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:38 am

Has Laura crossed those 88-90 degree waters yet? There is some massive heat intake going on right now. This is truly incredible to see. Can an expert breakdown the thermodynamics going on right now?
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
PTPatrick
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1831
Joined: Sat Jun 12, 2004 8:38 am

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5528 Postby PTPatrick » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:39 am

The Sabine pass area seems has had its share of storm struggles Lately. Audrey devastated it But then it was quiet for 50 or so years. then Rita (and Ike)and now Laura. I think harvey flooded much of the area badly too. Oddly enough, because it tucks in I’d guess, it’s has a lower strike frequency than areas to its East or west. But it definitely has had to contend with a lot of destruction in recent years. I know all too well what close together hits can do to a community. My area near the MS/AL line sustained devastating flooding in Georges only be wiped out by Katrina. It really has never recovered. It seems like many of the areas around there have a similar story to tell even pre -Laura. I’d be interested to know stats on what’s been rebuilt Vs abandoned After Rita/Ike/Harvey floods...I’m guessing many folks have moved to higher ground.
4 likes   
Top
User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5529 Postby artist » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:39 am

 https://twitter.com/LafourcheSO/status/1298586458140413952


0 likes   
Top
Do_For_Love
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 271
Age: 35
Joined: Sat May 09, 2015 7:47 am
Location: Delaware

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5530 Postby Do_For_Love » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:40 am



They are experiencing flooding from laura already?
2 likes   
Irene '11, Sandy '12, Fay '20, Isaias '20, Ida '21
Top
Shell Mound
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2434
Age: 32
Joined: Thu Sep 07, 2017 3:39 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL → Scandinavia

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5531 Postby Shell Mound » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:40 am

 https://twitter.com/JeremyDeHart53d/status/1298629830800482310



 https://twitter.com/HankAllenWX/status/1298629820797136897



 https://twitter.com/MurphTWN/status/1298629672062914564



 https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1298631016907591681



 https://twitter.com/plana_journ/status/1298630953909268481


5 likes   
CVW / MiamiensisWx / Shell Mound
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Top
User avatar
alan1961
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 771
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2006 11:58 am
Location: Derby, Derbyshire, England
Contact:
Contact alan1961

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5532 Postby alan1961 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:40 am

Image
11 likes   
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5533 Postby NDG » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:41 am

If Laura's pressure continue to drop at a rate ~3 mb/hr, with around 15-16 hrs left before landfall, even if it drops to 1-2 mb/hour, 930sh mb is not out of the of the question at or before landfall.
IMO.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3901
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5534 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:43 am

Image
2 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Highteeld
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2139
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:10 pm
Location: Chicago

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5535 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:48 am


Michael has returned from the grave, apparently
4 likes   
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Top
User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5899
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5536 Postby MGC » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:49 am

Governor of Louisiana was just on Weather Channel and said they are expecting 20 feet of storm surge in some areas of Louisiana.....MGC
2 likes   
Top
Shell Mound
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2434
Age: 32
Joined: Thu Sep 07, 2017 3:39 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL → Scandinavia

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5537 Postby Shell Mound » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:50 am

 https://twitter.com/LoganGilesWx/status/1298632556326326275



 https://twitter.com/QuintaFuerzaMX/status/1298632495110524928



 https://twitter.com/OTroopers/status/1298632863060041729


1 likes   
CVW / MiamiensisWx / Shell Mound
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Top
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8818
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5538 Postby aspen » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:52 am

110 kt and 956 mbar at 11am — I was only 1 mbar off for my prediction.
1 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
NotoSans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1380
Age: 25
Joined: Sun Sep 27, 2015 1:15 am
Location: Toronto
Contact:
Contact NotoSans

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5539 Postby NotoSans » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:52 am

Up to 956mb/110kt at latest advisory. Forecast peak nudged up to 125kt.
Laura has intensified by 45kt with central pressure fallen by 34mb over the past 24hours.
2 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
Top
psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4762
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5540 Postby psyclone » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:52 am

This storm is going to be a tsunami with 130mph winds and whiteout conditions with blinding rainfall. a total wipeout in the most intense zone. get out and live to fight another day.
2 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 12 guests