ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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NDG
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5521 Postby NDG » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:30 am

txwatcher91 wrote:
NDG wrote:
Chemmers wrote:954 mb wow 6 mb since last pass


That's the extrap measurement, on the last pass extrap showed 957 mb, but it still is a nice drop.


Last pass was 957.5, this pass is 952.9 so almost a 5mb drop in the extrap in one pass.


That's correct, I missed the 952.9mb reading on the report.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5522 Postby NotoSans » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:31 am

HDOBs from AF Hurricane Hunters are down again when they're about to conduct an NE pass LOL
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5523 Postby Hurricane Mike » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:31 am

Good grief.

 https://twitter.com/BrennanMatherne/status/1298594141249699840


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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5524 Postby Fancy1001 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:34 am

NotoSans wrote:HDOBs from AF Hurricane Hunters are down again when they're about to conduct an NE pass LOL

Of course.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5525 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:36 am

957.6 extrapolated from NOAA, last pass 90 minutes ago had 959.0
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5526 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:37 am

Holy moly this got way worse overnight. :eek: Not that I wasn't expecting it but still. What a beast.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5527 Postby St0rmTh0r » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:38 am

Has Laura crossed those 88-90 degree waters yet? There is some massive heat intake going on right now. This is truly incredible to see. Can an expert breakdown the thermodynamics going on right now?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5528 Postby PTPatrick » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:39 am

The Sabine pass area seems has had its share of storm struggles Lately. Audrey devastated it But then it was quiet for 50 or so years. then Rita (and Ike)and now Laura. I think harvey flooded much of the area badly too. Oddly enough, because it tucks in I’d guess, it’s has a lower strike frequency than areas to its East or west. But it definitely has had to contend with a lot of destruction in recent years. I know all too well what close together hits can do to a community. My area near the MS/AL line sustained devastating flooding in Georges only be wiped out by Katrina. It really has never recovered. It seems like many of the areas around there have a similar story to tell even pre -Laura. I’d be interested to know stats on what’s been rebuilt Vs abandoned After Rita/Ike/Harvey floods...I’m guessing many folks have moved to higher ground.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5529 Postby artist » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:39 am

 https://twitter.com/LafourcheSO/status/1298586458140413952


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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5530 Postby Do_For_Love » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:40 am



They are experiencing flooding from laura already?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5531 Postby Shell Mound » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:40 am

 https://twitter.com/JeremyDeHart53d/status/1298629830800482310



 https://twitter.com/HankAllenWX/status/1298629820797136897



 https://twitter.com/MurphTWN/status/1298629672062914564



 https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1298631016907591681



 https://twitter.com/plana_journ/status/1298630953909268481


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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5532 Postby alan1961 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:40 am

Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5533 Postby NDG » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:41 am

If Laura's pressure continue to drop at a rate ~3 mb/hr, with around 15-16 hrs left before landfall, even if it drops to 1-2 mb/hour, 930sh mb is not out of the of the question at or before landfall.
IMO.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5534 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:43 am

Image
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5535 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:48 am


Michael has returned from the grave, apparently
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5536 Postby MGC » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:49 am

Governor of Louisiana was just on Weather Channel and said they are expecting 20 feet of storm surge in some areas of Louisiana.....MGC
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5537 Postby Shell Mound » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:50 am

 https://twitter.com/LoganGilesWx/status/1298632556326326275



 https://twitter.com/QuintaFuerzaMX/status/1298632495110524928



 https://twitter.com/OTroopers/status/1298632863060041729


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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5538 Postby aspen » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:52 am

110 kt and 956 mbar at 11am — I was only 1 mbar off for my prediction.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5539 Postby NotoSans » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:52 am

Up to 956mb/110kt at latest advisory. Forecast peak nudged up to 125kt.
Laura has intensified by 45kt with central pressure fallen by 34mb over the past 24hours.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#5540 Postby psyclone » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:52 am

This storm is going to be a tsunami with 130mph winds and whiteout conditions with blinding rainfall. a total wipeout in the most intense zone. get out and live to fight another day.
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