ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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EnnisTx
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7141 Postby EnnisTx » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:40 pm

tarheelprogrammer wrote:
wx98 wrote:Cameron, LA is dead ahead. Worst impact for the area since Audrey 1957.


Any reports or CAMs from the area?



There is one that I have been watching as things went dark. I can still see a few lights that are probably on generators with howling wind and torrential rain.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7142 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:40 pm

Water is rising here in this video of Lake Charles

Find Brad Arnold

https://livestormchasing.com/map
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7143 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:41 pm

000
URNT12 KNHC 270334
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132020
A. 27/03:10:40Z
B. 29.10 deg N 093.28 deg W
C. 700 mb 2584 m
D. 938 mb
E. NA
F. CLOSED
G. C28
H. 106 kt
I. 126 deg 21 nm 03:04:00Z
J. 219 deg 130 kt
K. 125 deg 20 nm 03:04:30Z
L. 125 kt
M. 301 deg 8 nm 03:13:00Z
N. 035 deg 117 kt
O. 300 deg 11 nm 03:14:00Z
P. 29 C / 3056 m
Q. 25 C / 3047 m
R. 7 C / NA
S. 1234 / 7
T. 0.02 / 0.5 nm
U. AF300 2513A LAURA OB 14
MAX FL WIND 145 KT 088 / 14 NM 02:07:30Z
;


938MB
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7144 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:41 pm

Dropsonde suggests Laura may have attained Category 5 intensity.

Image
Last edited by Hypercane_Kyle on Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7145 Postby Tekken_Guy » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:42 pm

Michael didn’t start weakening until it went inland, right? Laura seems to be different in that regard.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7146 Postby Beef Stew » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:42 pm



Didn't quite make it to the surface, but those are some compelling winds. I would think that would support at least an intensity of 155 mph, no?
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7147 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:42 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Any guesses on how strong the winds might get in Lake Charles? 120-130mph?


No instrument will record it, but I would suspect sustained 90-110 mph with gusts to 140 mph.


I'd think 115 (sustained) might be possible, but maybe not. I forget which met mentioned it tonight, but he wondered how the structure of Laura would hold up given the swampy, marshy land between Lake Charles and the Gulf.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7148 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:42 pm



How did we not get the surface there? That is a cat 5 drop.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7149 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:42 pm

Tekken_Guy wrote:Michael didn’t start weakening until it went inland, right? Laura seems to be different in that regard.


this isn't weakening at all
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7150 Postby drezee » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:42 pm

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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7151 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:42 pm

150 knots top to bottom it is a 5 :eek: :eek: :double:
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7152 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:43 pm



That northwestern eyewall may get perilously close to Port Arthur. Don't know about Beaumont.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7153 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:43 pm

EnnisTx wrote:
tarheelprogrammer wrote:
wx98 wrote:Cameron, LA is dead ahead. Worst impact for the area since Audrey 1957.


Any reports or CAMs from the area?



There is one that I have been watching as things went dark. I can still see a few lights that are probably on generators with howling wind and torrential rain.



So you have that link? I thought it ended and closed it
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7154 Postby sweetpea » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:43 pm

sbcc wrote:
eastcoastFL wrote:
sweetpea wrote:
check out this link, there are 3 live that you can switch back and forth through


I think you forgot to attach it


Two live chaser links, at least 4 chasers on each atm:

https://www.severestudios.com/livechase/

https://livestormchasing.com/map


Looks like quite a few chasers are at the same garage as Jeff. Reed is still just driving around, he sounds bored. He is headed towards the airport
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7155 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:44 pm

Important to point out dropsonde measures instantaneous winds, so it's possible these may have been gusts.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7156 Postby cfisher » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:44 pm

We'll see what recon gets on the final pass. If it's real close it probably justifies upgrade based on that dropsonde
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7157 Postby wx98 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:45 pm

Still got time for one more pass. I believe intensity should be raised to 155 mph as of now.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7158 Postby Tekken_Guy » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:45 pm

CronkPSU wrote:
Tekken_Guy wrote:Michael didn’t start weakening until it went inland, right? Laura seems to be different in that regard.


this isn't weakening at all


I saw an update saying it’s pressure went up. Must have been an error.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7159 Postby wxman57 » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:45 pm

Oh well, time for bed. Have to get up at 5am for work. Looks like Laura weakened a bit over the past couple of hours, but it'll be quite a devastating storm even at only 140-150 mph.
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Re: ATL: LAURA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7160 Postby Cerlin » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:45 pm

you know the Cat 5 in the gulf meme...is that a reality now?
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