2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

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TheStormExpert

Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3041 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Sep 13, 2020 12:15 pm

This seasons quantity over quality is showing once again with Sally being heavily sheared in the Gulf. Of course there have been some quality storms such as Laura, Hanna, and Isaias that threatened land. Along with Paulette, and potentially future Teddy.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3042 Postby toad strangler » Sun Sep 13, 2020 1:11 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:This seasons quantity over quality is showing once again with Sally being heavily sheared in the Gulf. Of course there have been some quality storms such as Laura, Hanna, and Isaias that threatened land. Along with Paulette, and potentially future Teddy.


Sally has half a story to still tell.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3043 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Sep 13, 2020 1:31 pm

toad strangler wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:This seasons quantity over quality is showing once again with Sally being heavily sheared in the Gulf. Of course there have been some quality storms such as Laura, Hanna, and Isaias that threatened land. Along with Paulette, and potentially future Teddy.


Sally has half a story to still tell.

I see what you did there, considering the storm might be half-a-storm thanks to wind shear! :lol:
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3044 Postby aspen » Sun Sep 13, 2020 3:53 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:This seasons quantity over quality is showing once again with Sally being heavily sheared in the Gulf. Of course there have been some quality storms such as Laura, Hanna, and Isaias that threatened land. Along with Paulette, and potentially future Teddy.

Teddy is looking to be an ACE juggernaut. The NHC is now forecasting a major hurricane, most models are very aggressive, the HWRF gets this to a 925-940 mbar Cat 4/5 hurricane, and the system will be tracking over waters capable of supporting the HWRF’s intensity estimate for nearly a week. Also, models suggest this could last for significantly longer than 5-7 days. It’s possible Teddy could be a 40+ ACE storm, and with Paulette likely to finish around 20 ACE, that’ll get this season’s total past 110 ACE (excluding any other systems that could form during Teddy’s lifetime).
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3045 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:13 am

The Atlantic producing 5 simultaneous tropical cyclones on 9/14/20

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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3046 Postby RL3AO » Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:48 am

Yet somehow the Caribbean continues to be mostly untouched year after year.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3047 Postby Fancy1001 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:51 am

RL3AO wrote:Yet somehow the Caribbean continues to be mostly untouched year after year.

There's still october, and I have a feeling the ghost of Wilma wants to play.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3048 Postby Ryxn » Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:18 am

Fancy1001 wrote:
RL3AO wrote:Yet somehow the Caribbean continues to be mostly untouched year after year.

There's still october, and I have a feeling the ghost of Wilma wants to play.


Only this year, I have a feeling she'll be "named" Gamma or Delta lol if the storm forms in mid-October. What an oddball year!

Beating 2005's storm number is within the realm of possibility IMHO.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3049 Postby ClarCari » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:34 am

With Vicky due to be named in a couple hours, we will officially tie with (and soon beat) 1933 as the 2nd Most Active Atlantic Hurricane Season on Record with 20 named storms.
For ACE we’re still very behind (for now!). But say what we want about these brief storms, it’s still impressive the amount of storms we’ve seen this year. :double:
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3050 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Sep 14, 2020 9:02 am

Five simultaneous TCs. Insanity

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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3051 Postby chris_fit » Mon Sep 14, 2020 9:51 am

So has a Greek named storm ever been retired? What happens if one does get retired, we just skip the letter next time?
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3052 Postby chaser1 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 10:02 am

chris_fit wrote:So has a Greek named storm ever been retired? What happens if one does get retired, we just skip the letter next time?


After crossing out the Greek's, we'll probably go Roman... or even Babylonian lol
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3053 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 10:30 am

As crowded as can be

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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3054 Postby aspen » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:34 am

With Sally’s sudden burst of intensification and Teddy’s eventual phase of RI, there’s a good chance the season total will be 20/8/4 by this weekend. Paulette will likely become a major, Sally now has the opportunity to become a Cat 3, and Teddy seems poised to blow up into a Cat 4 in several days.

Also, if you count Omar, September 2020 has seen the record highest amount of named storms for this month, tied with 2002 and 2010 at 8...and it’s only September 14th. We might end up with 10-12 named storms by the time the month is over.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3055 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:36 am

aspen wrote:With Sally’s sudden burst of intensification and Teddy’s eventual phase of RI, there’s a good chance the season total will be 20/8/4 by this weekend. Paulette will likely become a major, Sally now has the opportunity to become a Cat 3, and Teddy seems poised to blow up into a Cat 4 in several days.

Also, if you count Omar, September 2020 has seen the record highest amount of named storms for this month, tied with 2002 and 2010 at 8...and it’s only September 14th. We might end up with 10-12 named storms by the time the month is over.

If Paulette, Sally, and Teddy all do indeed become majors, 2005's record of 7 may actually be in reach
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3056 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Sep 14, 2020 11:54 am

20/8/4 looks like a far more normal ratio than the 20/6/1 we were looking at this morning. Though I'd totally be fine with Sally underperforming. The September record is absolutely going to fall unless the Atlantic goes suddenly quiet and uh, I don't think that is especially likely with five storms and a vigorous wave ongoing simultaneously before the halfway point
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3057 Postby supercane4867 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 12:05 pm

For the first time in recorded history, there are 5 named storms coexisting in the TWO map.

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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3058 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Sep 14, 2020 12:23 pm

:uarrow:

Why does it seem like Rene hung on just for that? :lol:
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3059 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Sep 14, 2020 12:28 pm

AnnularCane wrote::uarrow:

Why does it seem like Rene hung on just for that? :lol:

Rene stuck around just to make history then dip! :rofl:
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

#3060 Postby AtlanticWind » Mon Sep 14, 2020 12:29 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:This seasons quantity over quality is showing once again with Sally being heavily sheared in the Gulf. Of course there have been some quality storms such as Laura, Hanna, and Isaias that threatened land. Along with Paulette, and potentially future Teddy.


I guess a likely Cat 2(Sally ) hitting the U.S. is not "quality"
Dont really understand this post.
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