2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
This seasons quantity over quality is showing once again with Sally being heavily sheared in the Gulf. Of course there have been some quality storms such as Laura, Hanna, and Isaias that threatened land. Along with Paulette, and potentially future Teddy.
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- toad strangler
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
TheStormExpert wrote:This seasons quantity over quality is showing once again with Sally being heavily sheared in the Gulf. Of course there have been some quality storms such as Laura, Hanna, and Isaias that threatened land. Along with Paulette, and potentially future Teddy.
Sally has half a story to still tell.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
toad strangler wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:This seasons quantity over quality is showing once again with Sally being heavily sheared in the Gulf. Of course there have been some quality storms such as Laura, Hanna, and Isaias that threatened land. Along with Paulette, and potentially future Teddy.
Sally has half a story to still tell.
I see what you did there, considering the storm might be half-a-storm thanks to wind shear!

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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
TheStormExpert wrote:This seasons quantity over quality is showing once again with Sally being heavily sheared in the Gulf. Of course there have been some quality storms such as Laura, Hanna, and Isaias that threatened land. Along with Paulette, and potentially future Teddy.
Teddy is looking to be an ACE juggernaut. The NHC is now forecasting a major hurricane, most models are very aggressive, the HWRF gets this to a 925-940 mbar Cat 4/5 hurricane, and the system will be tracking over waters capable of supporting the HWRF’s intensity estimate for nearly a week. Also, models suggest this could last for significantly longer than 5-7 days. It’s possible Teddy could be a 40+ ACE storm, and with Paulette likely to finish around 20 ACE, that’ll get this season’s total past 110 ACE (excluding any other systems that could form during Teddy’s lifetime).
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
The Atlantic producing 5 simultaneous tropical cyclones on 9/14/20


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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
Yet somehow the Caribbean continues to be mostly untouched year after year.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
RL3AO wrote:Yet somehow the Caribbean continues to be mostly untouched year after year.
There's still october, and I have a feeling the ghost of Wilma wants to play.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
Fancy1001 wrote:RL3AO wrote:Yet somehow the Caribbean continues to be mostly untouched year after year.
There's still october, and I have a feeling the ghost of Wilma wants to play.
Only this year, I have a feeling she'll be "named" Gamma or Delta lol if the storm forms in mid-October. What an oddball year!
Beating 2005's storm number is within the realm of possibility IMHO.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
With Vicky due to be named in a couple hours, we will officially tie with (and soon beat) 1933 as the 2nd Most Active Atlantic Hurricane Season on Record with 20 named storms.
For ACE we’re still very behind (for now!). But say what we want about these brief storms, it’s still impressive the amount of storms we’ve seen this year.
For ACE we’re still very behind (for now!). But say what we want about these brief storms, it’s still impressive the amount of storms we’ve seen this year.

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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
Five simultaneous TCs. Insanity


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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
So has a Greek named storm ever been retired? What happens if one does get retired, we just skip the letter next time?
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
chris_fit wrote:So has a Greek named storm ever been retired? What happens if one does get retired, we just skip the letter next time?
After crossing out the Greek's, we'll probably go Roman... or even Babylonian lol
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
As crowded as can be


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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
With Sally’s sudden burst of intensification and Teddy’s eventual phase of RI, there’s a good chance the season total will be 20/8/4 by this weekend. Paulette will likely become a major, Sally now has the opportunity to become a Cat 3, and Teddy seems poised to blow up into a Cat 4 in several days.
Also, if you count Omar, September 2020 has seen the record highest amount of named storms for this month, tied with 2002 and 2010 at 8...and it’s only September 14th. We might end up with 10-12 named storms by the time the month is over.
Also, if you count Omar, September 2020 has seen the record highest amount of named storms for this month, tied with 2002 and 2010 at 8...and it’s only September 14th. We might end up with 10-12 named storms by the time the month is over.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
aspen wrote:With Sally’s sudden burst of intensification and Teddy’s eventual phase of RI, there’s a good chance the season total will be 20/8/4 by this weekend. Paulette will likely become a major, Sally now has the opportunity to become a Cat 3, and Teddy seems poised to blow up into a Cat 4 in several days.
Also, if you count Omar, September 2020 has seen the record highest amount of named storms for this month, tied with 2002 and 2010 at 8...and it’s only September 14th. We might end up with 10-12 named storms by the time the month is over.
If Paulette, Sally, and Teddy all do indeed become majors, 2005's record of 7 may actually be in reach
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
20/8/4 looks like a far more normal ratio than the 20/6/1 we were looking at this morning. Though I'd totally be fine with Sally underperforming. The September record is absolutely going to fall unless the Atlantic goes suddenly quiet and uh, I don't think that is especially likely with five storms and a vigorous wave ongoing simultaneously before the halfway point
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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
For the first time in recorded history, there are 5 named storms coexisting in the TWO map.


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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images

Why does it seem like Rene hung on just for that?

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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
AnnularCane wrote::uarrow:
Why does it seem like Rene hung on just for that?
Rene stuck around just to make history then dip!

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Re: 2020 Indicators: SST's / SAL / MSLP / Steering / Shear / Instability / Sat Images
TheStormExpert wrote:This seasons quantity over quality is showing once again with Sally being heavily sheared in the Gulf. Of course there have been some quality storms such as Laura, Hanna, and Isaias that threatened land. Along with Paulette, and potentially future Teddy.
I guess a likely Cat 2(Sally ) hitting the U.S. is not "quality"
Dont really understand this post.
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