ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[xironman]

Impressive meso on the NE eyewall

[cfisher]

Another center reformation further S and E?

[Blow_Hard]

Still too close for comfort for the eastern side of lower Louisiana coast for first landfall. We'll see. It could miss the entire eastern side of the Louisiana coast altogether.

It's going to be close. IMHO it'll graze the tip of SE LA as it moves NNE towards the MS coast for landfall. Still going to be lots of water to deal with but obviously not the doomsday scenario they might've otherwise been facing.

[wxman57]

Center is still near western edge of convection. That is NOT the center in that black circle above. We have landfall near Gulfport as a 75-85 mph hurricane around 8pm tomorrow.

Are you looking at the same recon data I am? Recon has found the center to be now be east of 87W, which is right in the middle of the deep convection.

Glanced at recon and assumed west position newest. Center at red crosshairs.

[Chemmers]

Think the storm surge number will go up alot unfortunately

[NDG]

Sally, that girl, is getting going, amazing deep convection. We will probably see the LLC and MLC start getting stacked little by little during the day today.

https://i.imgur.com/cZFQUdn.gif

I thought I was the only one with this song rattling around in my head.

That's how I keep remembering her name.
Amazing how our brains work, the older we get the harder the things are to remember, lol.

[LowerAlabamaTider]

Gotta say that none of this is very comforting this morning here in S Alabama.

[GCANE]

Very small, very cold-top tower now firing.
This may go sub 10nm pinhole eye.

Think you're right. There is a very small core forming on radar now.

Fireworks may have just begun.
Just about to tap into the big CAPE pool.

[GCANE]

Like a big-ass tornado

[wxman57]

Think the storm surge number will go up alot unfortunately

7-9 ft MS coast

[NDG]

Nice developing eyewall.

[Dean4Storms]

Appears at least on radar to be tracking much more NW than WNW for now if you ask me.

[GCANE]

Lightning just about gone now.

[cfisher]

ADT picked up on the new center

2020SEP14 145018 2.8 995.0 41.0 2.8 3.2 4.2 0.5T/hour OFF OFF OFF OFF -75.10 -76.41 UNIFRM N/A -1.4 28.40 86.89 FCST GOES16 35.5

[xironman]

991 in the latest drop. Steadily strengthening.

[us89]

NHC is starting to buy into the east shift in track it looks like. Hurricane warnings extended east all the way to the AL/FL border.

[aspen]

Nice developing eyewall.

https://i.imgur.com/S9U47js.png

Beat me by a minute! I was gonna post that too.

But yeah, Sally's wind/pressure gradient has greatly improved and tightened up between just two passes. She might be in the high 980s when the NOAA plane gets in there.

[NDG]

Think the storm surge number will go up alot unfortunately

7-9 ft MS coast

Officially is 7-11 from the mouth of the river to Ocean Springs.

[Dean4Storms]

Center is still near western edge of convection. That is NOT the center in that black circle above. We have landfall near Gulfport as a 75-85 mph hurricane around 8pm tomorrow.

Are you looking at the same recon data I am? Recon has found the center to be now be east of 87W, which is right in the middle of the deep convection.

Glanced at recon and assumed west position newest. Center at red crosshairs.

http://wxman57.com/images/Sally6.JPG

Yea, that was the first pass this morning and then the center re-located to the NE in the deep convection with the MLC.

[NDG]

Nice developing eyewall.

https://i.imgur.com/S9U47js.png

Beat me by a minute! I was gonna post that too.

But yeah, Sally's wind/pressure gradient has greatly improved and tightened up between just two passes. She might be in the high 980s when the NOAA plane gets in there.

And the interesting fact is that it was a SE to NW pass, can't be more evident than that.