drift south and really throw everything
out of wack.
Hurricane Mike wrote:Sally looks almost stationary
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Hurricane Mike wrote:Sally looks almost stationary
wxman57 wrote:us89 wrote:eastcoastFL wrote:
Looks like pressure is still maintaining since the previous advisory. It was 988mb per nhc at 8pm est. I think they’ll stick with a 100mph storm at 11pm.
NHC definitely will stick with 100mph at 11. They won't want to give the appearance of a weakening storm, especially because it's likely to strengthen some more before it ultimately makes landfall.
True, NHC won't indicate weakening so that coastal residents don't stop monitoring. However, plane just cannot find anything over about 60-65 kts (2 planes). By the way, I'm typing with 2 hands now, just 4 days after getting a titanium plate put in to join the 3 pieces of my radius bone. Feels good.
TheStormExpert wrote:A pressure of 986mb for a 100mph Cat.2 is not very impressive. Also the NHC is now forecasting a weakening hurricane at landfall due to westerly shear and upwelling.
TheStormExpert wrote:A pressure of 986mb for a 100mph Cat.2 is not very impressive. Also the NHC is now forecasting a weakening hurricane at landfall due to westerly shear and upwelling.
wx98 wrote:From the disco:After rapidly strengthening earlier today, Sally's intensity has
plateaued for now. Both the NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunters
have been investigating Sally this evening and they have found that
the minimum pressure and winds have leveled off, and support
perhaps a generous initial intensity of 85 kt. Doppler radar
images and reports from both aircraft indicate the inner core of
the hurricane is quite small and that the eyewall is open on the
south side, likely due to some dry air that has wrapped into
that portion of the circulation.
This is literally the definition of not allowing the public to let their guard down. This storm is nowhere near 85 kts. Not even a “generous” estimate yields close to 85 kts.
aspen wrote:These impressive hot towers will need to continuously fire to get that eyewall solid and ready for a second burst of intensification. Will they succeed? Only time will tell, but they have helped lower the pressure a bit.
ConvergenceZone wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:A pressure of 986mb for a 100mph Cat.2 is not very impressive. Also the NHC is now forecasting a weakening hurricane at landfall due to westerly shear and upwelling.
Yep, knew that as coming, at least the upwelling part! Let's keep it stalled or moving slow, and keep churning up those cool waters and who knows,maybe tomorrow we can wake up to a significantly weakened hurricane.... The slower it moves over the same area, the more of a chance of that happening.....
TheStormExpert wrote:ConvergenceZone wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:A pressure of 986mb for a 100mph Cat.2 is not very impressive. Also the NHC is now forecasting a weakening hurricane at landfall due to westerly shear and upwelling.
Yep, knew that as coming, at least the upwelling part! Let's keep it stalled or moving slow, and keep churning up those cool waters and who knows,maybe tomorrow we can wake up to a significantly weakened hurricane.... The slower it moves over the same area, the more of a chance of that happening.....
Not to mention wind shear is already increasing again. Doubt this becomes a major.
NDG wrote:I just cannot remember when was the last time that the 48 hr forecast track by the NHC busted so bad, by so many miles. That's why they include the cone of uncertainty because it surely does can vary by that many miles, at times.
Good for some but not good for others.
https://i.imgur.com/9x3LNwn.png
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