ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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wx98
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3081 Postby wx98 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:50 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:Believable 121mph bin in the ne quad on radar

I saw even up to 123 mph when comparing to the color bar.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3082 Postby PTPatrick » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:51 pm

pcolaman wrote:
La Sirena wrote:
pcolaman wrote:Winds are picking up more and over 12 inches of rain has fallen near my house, With another 15 to 18 inches coming I am concerned. Water is creeping up the sand bags in my back yard at my double french doors. Have leaks in my townhouse now in 5 different places and pots and towels out. Power is still on but has gone off twice and came back on after 2 to 3 mins. quite a few flickers of the lights in between. Sally needs to move on !! Reminds me of Ivan the terrible ,now Sally theB!$# !! So no sleep tonight having to maintain leaks and water levels plus whats Still to come....

Do you have a high enough spot in your townhome to safely escape to? I am sending y’all good thoughts for the night.


Yes, the second story will be fine. Just cut me some 2 by 4 s to make blocks to put all my furniture on off the floor . Tile floors so that will be ok.


Went thru that in flash flood once, horrible feeling, I was a poor student so all I had was soup cans to put furniture legs on
Last edited by PTPatrick on Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3083 Postby Blackwaterjoe22 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:52 pm

Ivanhater wrote:
FLpanhandle91 wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Satellite is clearing an eye. I thought this would be a weaking storm this morning. Could this slide east of Pensacola?


Ivanhater I truly wish you the best in all of this. I have a bad feeling about this one. I'm not normally one to sensationalize my posts, but with the entire area receiving 7-10 inches of rain in the past 36 hours, the amount of downed trees and powerlines is going to present some issues.



It is the same feeling sitting here on the exact same night as Ivan. Glad to see you and other familiar faces here though!

September 16 and Deja vu. I was in Milton for Ivan. Now I am on Blackwater Bay. Very surge prone area. Gonna be a long night I am afraid

Joe
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3084 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:52 pm

wx98 wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:Believable 121mph bin in the ne quad on radar

I saw even up to 123 mph when comparing to the color bar.


That would equate to 86 kt once adjusted for height as well.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3085 Postby aspen » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:53 pm

95 kt FL winds on both sides of the eyewall during that pass, with SFMR close to 85 kt and an extrapolated pressure down to 969 mbar. Sally is getting very close to Category 2 status if she isn’t already there.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3086 Postby Jonny » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:53 pm

I was in Santa Rosa County for Ivan, now in Walton for Sally.
Last edited by Jonny on Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3087 Postby Florabamaman » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:53 pm

This is an absolutely incredible scenario unfolding. I thought I was going to be dealing with a mere "brush" here at my home but now I will most likely take the eyewall if this track verifies.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3088 Postby Hurricane Mike » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:55 pm

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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3089 Postby wx98 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:55 pm

Drop was 971. Took a N jog. Should get a SW to NE pass next.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3090 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:56 pm

Eye is now closed. If anything, the intensification could accelerate overnight.

At this rate, a major hurricane can't be ruled out.
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3091 Postby Blow_Hard » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:56 pm

Florabamaman wrote:This is an absolutely incredible scenario unfolding. I thought I was going to be dealing with a mere "brush" here at my home but now I will most likely take the eyewall if this track verifies.



Brother, I wish you and everyone in it's path the very best.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3092 Postby InnerarityIsland » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:56 pm

Florabamaman wrote:This is an absolutely incredible scenario unfolding. I thought I was going to be dealing with a mere "brush" here at my home but now I will most likely take the eyewall if this track verifies.


Same with me.... Stay safe!
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3093 Postby smw1981 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:56 pm

pcolaman wrote:Winds are picking up more and over 12 inches of rain has fallen near my house, With another 15 to 18 inches coming I am concerned. Water is creeping up the sand bags in my back yard at my double french doors. Have leaks in my townhouse now in 5 different places and pots and towels out. Power is still on but has gone off twice and came back on after 2 to 3 mins. quite a few flickers of the lights in between. Sally needs to move on !! Reminds me of Ivan the terrible ,now Sally theB!$# !! So no sleep tonight having to maintain leaks and water levels plus whats Still to come....


Ugh, I am so sorry you are having to deal with this.. I hope she clears out quickly and it doesn’t cause anymore damage. :(
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3094 Postby edu2703 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:56 pm

Eyewall is closed

Image
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3095 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:58 pm

Just had a gust to 79 mph.


Image
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3096 Postby wx98 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:58 pm

I’ve been following radar closely, and it appears to still be on a heading toward Orange Beach. Very very slowly, but surely. It’s about 35-40 miles SSW of Gulf Shores presently.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3097 Postby La Sirena » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:59 pm

InnerarityIsland wrote:
Florabamaman wrote:This is an absolutely incredible scenario unfolding. I thought I was going to be dealing with a mere "brush" here at my home but now I will most likely take the eyewall if this track verifies.


Same with me.... Stay safe!

I can’t wrap my mind around it and I’m nowhere near the storm right now. Hoping for the best for y’all. Keep everyone posted if you can so we know you’re safe.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3098 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:59 pm

Incredible situation.....likely coastal damage from AL to PCB by the time this one is thru.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3099 Postby us89 » Tue Sep 15, 2020 11:00 pm

...11 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE...
...SALLY STRENGTHENS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...

Data from An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and
the Mobile Alabama Doppler weather radar indicate that Sally has
strengthened to 90 mph (150 km/h).

A sustained wind of 67 mph (108 km/h) with a gust to 82 mph (131
km/h) was recently reported in the Sally's northern eyewall by NOAA
buoy 42012, located about 50 miles southeast of Mobile, Alabama.


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM CDT...0400 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 87.8W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 015 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3100 Postby ClarCari » Tue Sep 15, 2020 11:02 pm

I expect them to go gradual before completely jumping the gun on intensity. Now that the eyewall was just found closed, and if it stays that way they may get less bearish through the night.
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