ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
https://weather.com/weather/radar/inter ... torm=sally
Zoom in on the track, and it looks like a kid was playing connect the dots lol.
Zoom in on the track, and it looks like a kid was playing connect the dots lol.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
This thing's getting retired anyway if places get 40+ inches of rain.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
It leveled out on the latest center pass. Pressure back to 970. Mid to high-end Cat 2 is probably where this will end up.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
cfisher wrote:Nobody look at the Euro's track for Teddy
Fun times for Maine.
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
Special advisory holds at 105mph/968 mb
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
- cheezyWXguy
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
Yet another tornado warning for Panama City. Weak debris signature evident on cc
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 16/0630Z 29.9N 87.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 16/1200Z 30.3N 87.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 17/0000Z 31.2N 86.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
36H 17/1200Z 32.0N 85.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 18/0000Z 32.9N 83.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
60H 18/1200Z 33.6N 81.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
72H 19/0000Z 34.0N 79.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Stewart
INIT 16/0630Z 29.9N 87.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 16/1200Z 30.3N 87.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 17/0000Z 31.2N 86.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
36H 17/1200Z 32.0N 85.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 18/0000Z 32.9N 83.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
60H 18/1200Z 33.6N 81.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
72H 19/0000Z 34.0N 79.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Stewart
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
wx98 wrote:It leveled out on the latest center pass. Pressure back to 970. Mid to high-end Cat 2 is probably where this will end up.
We don’t know this....
It can go slightly down the right back up quickly.
Another recon on the way and still a few hours before landfall according to the special advisory.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
Is the plane going home, or making one last northeast pass.
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
cheezyWXguy wrote:Yet another tornado warning for Panama City. Weak debris signature evident on cc
Dang they are getting absolutely hammered with those tornado warnings
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Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
cheezyWXguy wrote:Yet another tornado warning for Panama City. Weak debris signature evident on cc
If memory serves they got hit several times with tornadoes with Ivan and I think someone got injured or killed.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
wx98 wrote:It leveled out on the latest center pass. Pressure back to 970. Mid to high-end Cat 2 is probably where this will end up.
If the eye contracts, even if the pressure stabilizes, winds could still increase. I wouldn't rule it out just yet.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
ClarCari wrote:wx98 wrote:It leveled out on the latest center pass. Pressure back to 970. Mid to high-end Cat 2 is probably where this will end up.
We don’t know this....
It can go slightly down the right back up quickly.
Another recon on the way and still a few hours before landfall according to the special advisory.
The NHC literally just put it at mid Cat 2 and forecasted high-end Cat 2 so yes we know this.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
Beef Stew wrote:FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 16/0630Z 29.9N 87.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 16/1200Z 30.3N 87.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 17/0000Z 31.2N 86.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
36H 17/1200Z 32.0N 85.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 18/0000Z 32.9N 83.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
60H 18/1200Z 33.6N 81.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
72H 19/0000Z 34.0N 79.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Stewart
Looks like they hedged between showing continued strengthening and calling it a major.
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Direct hit: Francis '04, Jeanne '04, Wilma '05 Hermine '16 Michael '18
Outer bands: Katrina '05 Irma '17
Outer bands: Katrina '05 Irma '17
- FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
Dang. NHC has this thing intensifying and offshore for 12 more hours?
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
A little wobble to the NE to cancel out the shear vector could be enough to close off that inner eyewall.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
Fancy1001 wrote:Is the plane going home, or making one last northeast pass.
Gotta come back through to get to Houston so yes.
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Re: ATL: SALLY - Hurricane - Discussion
cheezyWXguy wrote:wx98 wrote:It leveled out on the latest center pass. Pressure back to 970. Mid to high-end Cat 2 is probably where this will end up.
If the eye contracts, even if the pressure stabilizes, winds could still increase. I wouldn't rule it out just yet.
NHC has it landfalling at 110mph so high cat 2 or low cat 3 seems like a good bet at this point. Impacts will be the same regardless
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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