wxman57 wrote:Wilfred would not have been named unless it displayed more banding. Probably Vicky, too. Don't remember what scatterometer data we had then, if any.
Quikscat launched in 1999, so there were quite a few instances in which scatterometer data was used in 2005, typically but definitely not exclusively for storms far from land, including for the upgrade of Epsilon and Vince and Delta, for instance.
It's going to be really interesting to see how the interaction with TD Twenty-Two and the incoming upper-level trough plays out. Interestingly, while I was expecting a much more baroclinic interaction with plenty of dry and cool air advection on the storm's western flanks (which could possibly lead to subtropical transition), the models seem to have emphasized the system maintaining a more tropical presence with the trough more rapidly decaying as it passes over the system. Conditions out there aren't particularly unfavorable for intensification, though the trough interaction may play out in curious ways with the core structure. Might even get a bit of a window of favorable trough-storm interaction as the trough briefly provides a sizeable poleward outflow jet for 22L as evident from the storm's northern cirrus this morning. As the aphorism says, never trust a Gulf system to be well-behaved. At the very least, somebody is getting a lot of rain.
188 KB. Source: HFIP Experimental Products
