ATL: DELTA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
Frank P
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2776
Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 10:52 am
Location: Biloxi Beach, Ms
Contact:
Contact Frank P

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2101 Postby Frank P » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:20 pm


looks to me like it took quite a few jogs to the north or north-north west in that particular loop
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11496
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2102 Postby GCANE » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:27 pm

Eye looks to be right on the updated forecast track now.
Maybe another story by the time recon finishes up.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2103 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:29 pm

Pretty classic...

Image
8 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5044
Age: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2104 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:32 pm

GCANE wrote:Appears to still be a slight thermal inversion below 1 km.
If that breaks, the cork pops

https://i.imgur.com/lr4Hdw0.gif

What does that mean? Is that inversion good or bad for the storm?
1 likes   
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25

Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Top
User avatar
CyclonicFury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2025
Age: 26
Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 12:32 pm
Location: NC
Contact:
Contact CyclonicFury

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2105 Postby CyclonicFury » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:34 pm


Looks like a classic hurricane. A bit late for a western GoM hurricane this strong this late in the season...
2 likes   
NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
Top
User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5044
Age: 24
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2106 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:34 pm

Looks like Delta is certainly on pace for my 140mph peak prediction... Maybe even higher :double:
2 likes   
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25

Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Top
User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2107 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:34 pm

Based on Satellite alone, that sure looks stronger than a 105MPH Hurricane to me.........I'm skeptical that it's only that strong......
4 likes   
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2108 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:35 pm

Yeah definitely far more classic for August or early September given its location lol
2 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
xironman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2522
Joined: Sun Jun 10, 2007 4:53 pm
Location: NoVA

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2109 Postby xironman » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:38 pm

GCANE wrote:Appears to still be a slight thermal inversion below 1 km.
If that breaks, the cork pops

https://i.imgur.com/lr4Hdw0.gif


CIN? Because when that breaks all heck breaks loose.
0 likes   
Top
underthwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2360
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:14 pm
Location: Brazoria County Texas

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2110 Postby underthwx » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:39 pm

Good day to all of you....when exactly is Delta gonna start moving away from Setexas?....every time I look at the satellite images...it seems to be getting too close for comfort...I live in Brazoria Counry...bout 15-20 miles from Freeport....what type of conditions can we expect in my neck of the woods?....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2124
Age: 22
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg, VA / Bermuda

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2111 Postby Kazmit » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:41 pm

Image
7 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2112 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:42 pm

Wink

Image
11 likes   
Top
User avatar
FLpanhandle91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1033
Age: 34
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:50 pm
Location: Fort Walton Beach, FL

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2113 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:43 pm

This is going to be brutal where ever it ends up.
Last edited by FLpanhandle91 on Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2114 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:44 pm

Delta is looking more and more impressive on satellite imagery right now!
2 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
LARanger
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 131
Joined: Wed Oct 07, 2020 12:45 pm

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2115 Postby LARanger » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:49 pm

Stormgodess wrote:This is the TENTH Forecasted storm tracking for Louisiana so far this year! My Goodness, we are all suffering Hurricane PTSD, Hurricane Fatigue, JUST DANG SICK OF HURRICANES SYNDROME... right now.

But in all seriousness. Im pretty certain I have weather PTSD from the 2016 floods.


Buck up, soldier! Part of me's still in the 2016 Cajun Navy rescue boat, too. Now it's 2020 and we got the 'canes swooping by, we got the 'rona all around, we got anti-maskers, civil unrest, the political mess . . . but we're winning, 'cause even when all your stuff is by the roadside there's still beer and jambalaya.

So, don't fret too much, be careful . . . but enjoy yourself, enjoy this ever so interesting life, and even when the murder hornets come buzzing and the swamp inexplicably catches fire and solar flares kick off and the asteroid's inbound you gotta 'merica harder than you've ever 'merica'd before.

Image

Now, I gotta go PTSD-twitch 'cause it's getting a tad breezy.
15 likes   
Baton Rouge area cyclone dilettante, PSWAGGER* tropical weather & hydrology model developer
(* Pseudo-Scientific Wild-A** Guesses Generally Expressed Ridiculously)
The GFDL would've had all this figured out by now.
Top
User avatar
kevin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2586
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Aug 28, 2019 4:35 am

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2116 Postby kevin » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:51 pm

Comparing the Delta thread to f.e. Laura and Sally it is still surprisingly quiet. I think this one might surprise a lot of people by how strong is is/will become. I think many people checked out once the Wilma level potential wasn't realized, but this is shaping up to be one massive major hurricane right now.
8 likes   
Top
Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6684
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2117 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:54 pm

Has Delta slowed down significantly?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2118 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:56 pm

kevin wrote:Comparing the Delta thread to f.e. Laura and Sally it is still surprisingly quiet. I think this one might surprise a lot of people by how strong is is/will become. I think many people checked out once the Wilma level potential wasn't realized, but this is shaping up to be one massive major hurricane right now.


It already is a massive tropical cyclone. It will cause major problems with surge and will have an expansive wind field. It is going to create much havoc unfortunately for the people along the North Central Gulf Coast and even areas inland into Louisiana and into the Lower MS and TN River Valleys.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
BRweather
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 331
Joined: Wed Aug 31, 2016 8:50 am
Location: Baton Rouge, LA

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2119 Postby BRweather » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:57 pm

I am curious to see if this northward movement is a prolonged wobble or if stays moving north.. The storm is supposed to make it to make it right at 94W and we are at 93.3ish
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15980
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re: ATL: DELTA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2120 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Oct 08, 2020 2:57 pm

kevin wrote:Comparing the Delta thread to f.e. Laura and Sally it is still surprisingly quiet. I think this one might surprise a lot of people by how strong is is/will become. I think many people checked out once the Wilma level potential wasn't realized, but this is shaping up to be one massive major hurricane right now.


If Delta was threatening Texas or Florida this thread would be super active.
3 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests