WPAC: GONI - Post-Tropical
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
This storm may be approaching Hagibis strength. I would estimate the peak winds (at least within the last couple of hours considering a possible ERC) have achieved 160-165 knots.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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Ed_2001
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
Outer eyewall starting to become robust.
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The answer my friend, is blowing in the wind...
Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
HWRF analysis sounding at 12z in the eyewall...
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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ElectricStorm
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
Highteeld wrote:This storm may be approaching Hagibis strength. I would estimate the peak winds (at least within the last couple of hours considering a possible ERC) have achieved 160-165 knots.
https://i.imgur.com/80m7pyb.png
I would probably put Goni's peak at 160kts. I still think Hagibis was a little stronger than 160kts but they are pretty close for me
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I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
Raws have shot up to T#7.5.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Ed_2001
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
Let's see if JTWC upgrades it to 160 for the 0z update if that CDG ring persists for just a little longer...
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The answer my friend, is blowing in the wind...
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ElectricStorm
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
Ed_2001 wrote:Let's see if JTWC upgrades it to 160 for the 0z update if that CDG ring persists for just a little longer...
I think it will be close. We'll have to see if the EWRC is in full swing by then.
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I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Boomer Sooner!
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ElectricStorm
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
When is the SMAP pass supposed to happen?
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I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Boomer Sooner!
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
New CDO max
2020OCT30 220000 7.1 919.4 143.0 7.1 7.5 7.5 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF 16.40 -79.11 EYE 9 IR 24.4 15.49 -129.11 ARCHER HIM-8 22.5
2020OCT30 220000 7.1 919.4 143.0 7.1 7.5 7.5 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF 16.40 -79.11 EYE 9 IR 24.4 15.49 -129.11 ARCHER HIM-8 22.5
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
Wow, 190 kt! The actual 1-min sustained winds are probably a little lower, but that’s incredible.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Iceresistance
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
JTWC keeps Goni at 180 mph but the pressure is now at 904 MB
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
We have a CDG ring folks! Perhaps this is enough for the JTWC to give a rare upgrade to 160 kt.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
aspen wrote:
Wow, 190 kt! The actual 1-min sustained winds are probably a little lower, but that’s incredible.
190 knot gusts is right on the money with the JTWC prognosis for the 12z update with 155 knot sustained
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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ElectricStorm
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
aspen wrote:We have a CDG ring folks! Perhaps this is enough for the JTWC to give a rare upgrade to 160 kt.
https://rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/tc_realtime/products/storms/2020wp22/4kmsrbdc/2020wp22_4kmsrbdc_202010302230.jpg
Imagine if that wraps all the way around...
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Iceresistance
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
aspen wrote:We have a CDG ring folks! Perhaps this is enough for the JTWC to give a rare upgrade to 160 kt.
https://rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/tc_realtime/products/storms/2020wp22/4kmsrbdc/2020wp22_4kmsrbdc_202010302230.jpg
CDG ring?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
Iceresistance wrote:aspen wrote:We have a CDG ring folks! Perhaps this is enough for the JTWC to give a rare upgrade to 160 kt.
https://rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/tc_realtime/products/storms/2020wp22/4kmsrbdc/2020wp22_4kmsrbdc_202010302230.jpg
CDG ring?
Cold Dark Grey, the color on the Dvorak scale used for the coldest and deepest cloud tops (<-80C). The most intense Cat 5s have had CDG rings — Wilma, Patricia, Gilbert, Haiyan, Nida, Cimaron, Hagibis, Halong, etc.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Iceresistance
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
aspen wrote:Iceresistance wrote:aspen wrote:We have a CDG ring folks! Perhaps this is enough for the JTWC to give a rare upgrade to 160 kt.
https://rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/tc_realtime/products/storms/2020wp22/4kmsrbdc/2020wp22_4kmsrbdc_202010302230.jpg
CDG ring?
Cold Dark Grey, the color on the Dvorak scale used for the coldest and deepest cloud tops (<-80C). The most intense Cat 5s have had CDG rings — Wilma, Patricia, Gilbert, Haiyan, Nida, Cimaron, Hagibis, Halong, etc.
Oh no, the CDG rings sound very violent in storms.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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ElectricStorm
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
Iceresistance wrote:aspen wrote:Iceresistance wrote:CDG ring?
Cold Dark Grey, the color on the Dvorak scale used for the coldest and deepest cloud tops (<-80C). The most intense Cat 5s have had CDG rings — Wilma, Patricia, Gilbert, Haiyan, Nida, Cimaron, Hagibis, Halong, etc.
Oh no, the CDG rings sound very violent in storms.
A full CDG ring is a T8.0 on Dvorak, the highest you can get, basically the perfect storm. Like Haiyan and Patricia
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I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Boomer Sooner!
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Iceresistance
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Re: WPAC: GONI - Typhoon
Weather Dude wrote:Iceresistance wrote:aspen wrote:Cold Dark Grey, the color on the Dvorak scale used for the coldest and deepest cloud tops (<-80C). The most intense Cat 5s have had CDG rings — Wilma, Patricia, Gilbert, Haiyan, Nida, Cimaron, Hagibis, Halong, etc.
Oh no, the CDG rings sound very violent in storms.
A full CDG ring is a T8.0 on Dvorak, the highest you can get, basically the perfect storm. Like Haiyan and Patricia
Dorian in 2019 was very close to the T8.0
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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