ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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supercane4867
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shiny-pebble
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Eye is really warming 
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Nancy Smar wrote:Weather Dude wrote:Iceresistance wrote:How strong?
Appears to be 85kt Cat 2 with a 115kt Cat 4 peak forecast. 85kts is pretty low... They've been really conservative with this one
No, It is a 90kt and 970mbar Cat 2 now.
That makes sense. Must have looked at the wrong line lol
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Ubuntwo wrote:cheezyWXguy wrote:The way that eye is clearing out, the earlier comments about Eta pulling a Delta and shooting past cat3 are probably correct
With one key difference: Eta has already done what Delta never could.
https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/289981599448039425/772833499802632192/COD-GOES-East-meso-meso1.02.20201102.144322-overmap-bars.gif?width=1204&height=677
OMG, what is the eye temp there!?
Last edited by Iceresistance on Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:The map is fixed! I like that better than the old one!
Perhaps my post provided the impetus for the change, eh.
(It may have been purely coincidental, but I prefer to think otherwise.
)Anyway, back to the topic at hand: Eta.
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Kazmit
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks unreal on IR right now
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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Likely approaching major hurricane status. Hints of a stadium effect starting to set up.
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HurricaneEnzo
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Yep this is looking bad. Doesn't look like this will be hitting any speed bumps until landfall unlike what we saw with Delta when we thought a Cat 5 was possible. Eye is rapidly warming on this little powerhouse. I think Cat 4 is pretty certain. Not sure it has time for a 5 but I'm not writing this off until it is over land.
Last edited by HurricaneEnzo on Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
I really hope its impact in CA won't be that big, but Eta just seems to be firing on all cylinders at the moment. I can't imagine this being anything less than a strong cat 4 during landfall. After Laura and Delta who just didn't make it, I'm a bit reluctant to explicitly say the number 5, but if it keeps going like this I don't think anything can stop it from getting there.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:Ubuntwo wrote:cheezyWXguy wrote:The way that eye is clearing out, the earlier comments about Eta pulling a Delta and shooting past cat3 are probably correct
With one key difference: Eta has already done what Delta never could.
https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/289981599448039425/772833499802632192/COD-GOES-East-meso-meso1.02.20201102.144322-overmap-bars.gif?width=1204&height=677
OMG, what is the eye temp there!?
The eye is now up to -40C.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
THAT IS BELOW -50C! THE EYE IS REALLY CLEARING OUT RIGHT NOW!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Ensembles have been pretty consistent with stronger solutions spending less time in CA.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Oh my god the eye is warming up so fast. I’m thinking my conservative peak estimate is going to be VERY conservative...
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Ubuntwo wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Ubuntwo wrote:With one key difference: Eta has already done what Delta never could.
https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/289981599448039425/772833499802632192/COD-GOES-East-meso-meso1.02.20201102.144322-overmap-bars.gif?width=1204&height=677
OMG, what is the eye temp there!?
The eye is now up to -40C.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
That eye is already clearer than Delta ever had in the Caribbean LOL
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
NotoSans wrote:That eye is already clearer than Delta ever had in the Caribbean LOL
It already beats Delta by even having an eye
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Nancy Smar
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 3, 148N, 814W, 95, 962, HU, 34, NEQ, 100, 60, 40, 90, 0, 0, 0, 115, 10, , 0, DPB, 265, 8, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 70, 60, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 3, 148N, 814W, 95, 962, HU, 50, NEQ, 30, 20, 20, 30, 0, 0, 0, 115, 10, , 0, DPB, 265, 8, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 70, 60, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 3, 148N, 814W, 95, 962, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 10, 10, 20, 0, 0, 0, 115, 10, , 0, DPB, 265, 8, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 70, 60, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 12, 144N, 824W, 115, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 100, 70, 40, 90, 0, 0, 0, 140, 10, , 0, DPB, 250, 7,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 12, 144N, 824W, 115, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 40, 40, 20, 30, 0, 0, 0, 140, 10, , 0, DPB, 250, 7,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 12, 144N, 824W, 115, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 10, 10, 20, 0, 0, 0, 140, 10, , 0, DPB, 250, 7,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 24, 140N, 831W, 120, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 110, 80, 50, 90, 0, 0, 0, 145, 10, , 0, DPB, 240, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 24, 140N, 831W, 120, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 20, 40, 0, 0, 0, 145, 10, , 0, DPB, 240, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 24, 140N, 831W, 120, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 20, 10, 20, 0, 0, 0, 145, 10, , 0, DPB, 240, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 3, 148N, 814W, 95, 962, HU, 50, NEQ, 30, 20, 20, 30, 0, 0, 0, 115, 10, , 0, DPB, 265, 8, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 70, 60, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 3, 148N, 814W, 95, 962, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 10, 10, 20, 0, 0, 0, 115, 10, , 0, DPB, 265, 8, , , 12, NEQ, 120, 70, 60, 90,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 12, 144N, 824W, 115, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 100, 70, 40, 90, 0, 0, 0, 140, 10, , 0, DPB, 250, 7,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 12, 144N, 824W, 115, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 40, 40, 20, 30, 0, 0, 0, 140, 10, , 0, DPB, 250, 7,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 12, 144N, 824W, 115, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 10, 10, 20, 0, 0, 0, 140, 10, , 0, DPB, 250, 7,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 24, 140N, 831W, 120, 0, HU, 34, NEQ, 110, 80, 50, 90, 0, 0, 0, 145, 10, , 0, DPB, 240, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 24, 140N, 831W, 120, 0, HU, 50, NEQ, 50, 40, 20, 40, 0, 0, 0, 145, 10, , 0, DPB, 240, 4,
AL, 29, 2020110212, 03, OFCL, 24, 140N, 831W, 120, 0, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 20, 10, 20, 0, 0, 0, 145, 10, , 0, DPB, 240, 4,
Last edited by Nancy Smar on Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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