ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Cerlin]

Has the Atlantic ever had a sub 900 mb landfall anywhere before?

[Iceresistance]

8.4? In November?

2020 is just a nightmare.

The nightmare no one wants to see ever again, 2005 was a nightmare Atlantic Hurricane Season, but 2005 will be nothing compared to this. . .

[Kingarabian]

For reference, the highest RAW T by Patricia was 8.3

Here's the top 10 list once again:

[ozonepete]

Eta is at least 50-80 miles farther south than the NHC track expected.

Yes clearly something unforseen is going on with the track as well as the intensity. It probably wouldn't have gotten this strong if it had continued west or west-southwestward due to increasing land interaction.

Also, it apparently did do one trochoidal loop a little earlier as it turned south-southwestward at a decent clip. But overall it still looks like it may have stalled. It will turn westward again when the high to the north and northwest stops building but until then it has to go even more south or stall out. Either scenario will not allow it to weaken much in the short term.

[p1nheadlarry]

Godspeed to everyone onboard that recon flight—not sure how anyone can have the guts to ride a plane into this monster.

Probably not too bad at higher altitudes.

Higher altitudes are far worse. Flight level winds are always higher than on the surface.

To a point. North of 850-800 hpa winds start to decrease

[RL3AO]

Screw it. I'm going 892.

[aspen]

Has the Atlantic ever had a sub 900 mb landfall anywhere before?

Labor Day, IIRC. Gilbert was also 900 mbar at landfall.

[Raebie]

168kt/892. Might as well play along. Lol.

[Hurricaneman]

Has the Atlantic ever had a sub 900 mb landfall anywhere before?

Yes, the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane at 892

[BYG Jacob]

Has the Atlantic ever had a sub 900 mb landfall anywhere before?

Labor day 1935 hurricane

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Has the Atlantic ever had a sub 900 mb landfall anywhere before?

Yes, in the Keys. Labor Day hurricane in 1935.

[BobHarlem]

Wow this recon mission is going to hit Eta at it's likely peak, and with raw T#s beating Patricia....

[ClarCari]

Has the Atlantic ever had a sub 900 mb landfall anywhere before?

Labor Day 1935 at peak 892.
Camille and Gilbert made landfalls at 900mb.

[Cerlin]

Imma go 170kt/894mb

[Kazmit]

Has the Atlantic ever had a sub 900 mb landfall anywhere before?

Labor Day Hurricane

[SconnieCane]

Remember... this was a cat 1 this morning.

I work for a local TV news station here, I couldn't help but roll my eyes as our news department was still reporting it as a tropical storm at 11 AM CST because that was the last update from network.

[ronyan]

I'll predict 170kt / 891mb.

[supercane4867]

Hard to guess the pressure/wind relationship here so I'm giving up on giving an estimate lol.

[EquusStorm]

Big ol Patricia/Wilma vibes and suspense level

Edge of seat getting very worn

[zal0phus]

I'm going 175 knots/879 mb. This is unreal.