ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Jr0d]

The Keys are still part of Florida and we are certainly not in the clear here.

Eta is not looking healthy right now, looks almost more like a trough axis than a strong tropical storm. Much different than earlier today. We will see what land interaction will do. I do not think we can rule out Eta strengthening after Cuba, however looking less likely given the satellite presentation.

[aspen]

The GFS has been suggesting that at least a moderate TS reaching the loop current in the Gulf could end up being pretty bad, because it’ll stall over deep warm waters and could become a hurricane. It depends on what’s left after Cuba.

[Loveweather12]

The GFS has been suggesting that at least a moderate TS reaching the loop current in the Gulf could end up being pretty bad, because it’ll stall over deep warm waters and could become a hurricane. It depends on what’s left after Cuba.

Where does it go after the loop current?

[lhpfish]

Due east?

[Blown Away]

Due east?

Convection ball almost completely E of 80W, IMO either it’s SW shear and convection on R side of CoC or it’s moving @E.

[Cat5James]

I strongly dislike when people use the term "Florida shield", but if events play out how the GFS is depicting them I will start to question everything I know.. It appears every time Eta tries to approach FL a high builds in from our east and shoves it away... its uncanny

[lhpfish]

She only has one way out after that. Shield can’t last forever

[Blown Away]

She only has one way out after that. Shield can’t last forever

Dissipates in GOM.

[johngaltfla]

She only has one way out after that. Shield can’t last forever

Dissipates in GOM.

He has yet to understand the powers of the dark side which we have mastered in Florida.

[Loveweather12]

She only has one way out after that. Shield can’t last forever

Dissipates in GOM.

He has yet to understand the powers of the dark side which we have mastered in Florida.

I will keep repeating, there is no Florida Shield. The NHC doesn't have a definition for one and if a storm is going to come, no one cant stop it from coming except Mother Nature.

[Cat5James]

Convection really blowing up right now.

[Iceresistance]

65 mph, I knew this will keep getting stronger! Hurricane watches for ALL of south Florida.

[Iceresistance]

She only has one way out after that. Shield can’t last forever

Dissipates in GOM.

He has yet to understand the powers of the dark side which we have mastered in Florida.

Me reacting to your latest reply:

[ObsessedMiami]

Still impressed with that 10-15 inch rainfall prediction for Miami-Dade

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/035359.shtml?rainqpf#contents

[boca]

Due east?

Convection ball almost completely E of 80W, IMO either it’s SW shear and convection on R side of CoC or it’s moving @E.

I don’t see this moving NW or west it would be a naked swirl because the convection is going ENE.

[Bluehawk]

First of all, thank you all, dedicated people (professionals and amateurs alike) who continue to provide anyone coming here a trove of information. It is so good to avoid the media hype by simply following the information, and being guided in understanding the implications and limitations in interpreting possible outcomes. That being said: pretty powerful squalls right now in the West Boca Raton area, rain and wind. Many people were very confident today we'd be able to to stuff tomorrow (e.g. go to church), because the TS winds are not supposed to be here until tomrrow night, but I seriously doubted tomorrow would be a "waiting day", thanks to reading the posts here. If it's anything like tonight... I doubt many will want to drive in this weather.

[StPeteMike]

Closely monitoring from the Tampa Bay region. We either get a sloppy mess or a strong Cat 2 from the models. We should have a clear understanding of what weather factors will win out by Monday and give us an idea what happens to this area come middle to late in the week...

[crimi481]

I am in Venice Mike. Hard to know what our area will get. Time will tell

[eastcoastFL]

So this is just going to sit in the gulf for half of the week and fizzle out? I’m not sure if I’m buying that solution at this point

[Iceresistance]

ACE as of Midnight is at 153.80 units, highest since 2017

Yes, 2020 is classified as 'hyperactive'