ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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aspen
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3781 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 09, 2020 3:55 pm

Eta is firing several hot towers around the CoC, apparently trying to rebuild its inner core. If it keeps out dry air, I could see a weak hurricane within the next 36 hours.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3782 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Nov 09, 2020 3:59 pm

You know it has been a long season when us S2K'ers are ready for it to end. Eta just needs to go away already. DIE!!! I'm ready for a big cold front down here in SE Florida!!!
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3783 Postby Nimbus » Mon Nov 09, 2020 4:15 pm

Eta appears to be tracking around the Cuban ULL rather than the ridging.
There is dry air even in the Western Caribbean so we can hope for dissipation.
Has picked up some convection this afternoon so probably will keep its name for a while.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3784 Postby crimi481 » Mon Nov 09, 2020 4:34 pm

Can't bet-a, against Eta. She wants no ropes
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3785 Postby sponger » Mon Nov 09, 2020 4:52 pm

ETA attempting to rebuild from scratch.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3786 Postby Cat5James » Mon Nov 09, 2020 4:58 pm

GFS showing a few more inches of rain for SE FL over the next 72 hours associated with this system...lovely
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3787 Postby crimi481 » Mon Nov 09, 2020 5:31 pm

Looks like Eta may make a big u-turn - back up tp Keys. Ya think?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3788 Postby johngaltfla » Mon Nov 09, 2020 5:38 pm

I'm cheering for the NHC forecast. This storm looked horrible all day and hopefully after tonight it's shredded some more.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3789 Postby psyclone » Mon Nov 09, 2020 5:47 pm

November climo FTW!
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3790 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 09, 2020 5:59 pm

Eta is redevloping a CDO.

Image


It is Eta that is extremly stubborn. :lol:

EDIT: WAIT? IS IT HEADING TOWARDS CUBA FOR A 4TH LANDFALL!? :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :shocked!:
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3791 Postby GCANE » Mon Nov 09, 2020 6:03 pm

Some lightning beginning to fire in the core.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3792 Postby wx98 » Mon Nov 09, 2020 6:04 pm

Still diving SW on IR. This is one of those storm paths like the ones you see from years ago and think “how did that crazy storm go that way.” Eta is currently moving totally opposite of a November climatological path for November.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3793 Postby GCANE » Mon Nov 09, 2020 6:07 pm

Firing now in a 3000 CAPE ridge
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3794 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 09, 2020 6:11 pm

Iceresistance wrote:Eta is redevloping a CDO.

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/FLOATER/data/AL292020/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-AL292020-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif


It is Eta that is extremly stubborn. :lol:

EDIT: WAIT? IS IT HEADING TOWARDS CUBA FOR A 4TH LANDFALL!? :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :shocked!:

Some earlier model runs did show Eta taking sharp enough of a dive to scrape the western edge of Cuba.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3795 Postby hurricanehunter69 » Mon Nov 09, 2020 6:26 pm

ETA is definitely strengthening once again. That deep convection will spin up the cyclone the same way pressing down on the gas pedal revs up an engine.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3796 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 09, 2020 6:42 pm

CDO cloud tops down to -80C, Eta is getting stronger again. (Maybe a smaller windfield?)
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3797 Postby aspen » Mon Nov 09, 2020 6:44 pm

I can’t believe it’s been a full week since Eta’s T#8.5 pinhole ERI phase. Just like then, recon is having comm issues.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3798 Postby robbielyn » Mon Nov 09, 2020 6:50 pm

wx98 wrote:Still diving SW on IR. This is one of those storm paths like the ones you see from years ago and think “how did that crazy storm go that way.” Eta is currently moving totally opposite of a November climatological path for November.

that’s because it’s dancing with an ULL fujiwara style Levi said.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3799 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 09, 2020 7:00 pm

The CDO core of 97L is very similar to Eta, What do you think about it?

Image
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Re: ATL: ETA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3800 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Nov 09, 2020 7:01 pm

Iceresistance wrote:The CDO core of 97L is very similar to Eta, What do you think about it?

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/TAW/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

Aww they're holding hands :lol:
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