ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Where?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Still at 80-90%
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to
produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Satellite
imagery indicates that the disturbance is gradually becoming better
organized, and a tropical depression will likely form within the
next couple of days as it moves slowly westward over the central
and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, this system
is expected to bring heavy rainfall along with possible flash
flooding to portions of Hispaniola over the next day or so. For more
detailed information, refer to products issued by your local weather
office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Satellite
imagery indicates that the disturbance is gradually becoming better
organized, and a tropical depression will likely form within the
next couple of days as it moves slowly westward over the central
and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, this system
is expected to bring heavy rainfall along with possible flash
flooding to portions of Hispaniola over the next day or so. For more
detailed information, refer to products issued by your local weather
office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:
Where?
The eddy is coming over in the NE at about 10 o'clock
the wave is coming through the middle of the convection as a line form N to S
the gyre is the whole counterclockwise turn in the area
Maybe the eddy gets dragged into the convection and sparks an llc
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
xironman wrote:Iceresistance wrote:
Where?
The eddy is coming over in the NE at about 10 o'clock
the wave is coming through the middle of the convection as a line form N to S
the gyre is the whole counterclockwise turn in the area
Maybe the eddy gets dragged into the convection and sparks an llc
I see now!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Nothing remotely closed at the surface yet however it appears to me that some mid to lower COC may be trying to consolidate around 15N & 71.5W. It's evolution is still quite fluid though.
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Andy D
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Lots of squalls spinning around 98L right now.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Saturday
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL
INVEST MISSION FOR 14/1800Z NEAR 15.0N 76.5W.
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL
INVEST MISSION FOR 14/1800Z NEAR 15.0N 76.5W.
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supercane4867
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Looks like future Iota will track very close to Jamaica by the time it forms.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
supercane4867 wrote:Looks like future Iota will track very close to Jamaica by the time it forms.
Man look at that twist!! You can actually see the whole thing speed up it's twist towards the end of that loop, this is a monster in the making.
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Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
FireRat wrote:supercane4867 wrote:Looks like future Iota will track very close to Jamaica by the time it forms.
https://i.imgur.com/xZc69L3.gif
Man look at that twist!! You can actually see the whole thing speed up it's twist towards the end of that loop, this is a monster in the making.
It almost looks like a giant windscreen wiper now that I look at it. On a more serious note, the rotational energy of this system really increased a lot today. Yesterday when I last checked the visuals I couldn't spot any rotation yet, but it's clear as day now.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
kevin wrote:FireRat wrote:supercane4867 wrote:Looks like future Iota will track very close to Jamaica by the time it forms.
https://i.imgur.com/xZc69L3.gif
Man look at that twist!! You can actually see the whole thing speed up it's twist towards the end of that loop, this is a monster in the making.
It almost looks like a giant windscreen wiper now that I look at it. On a more serious note, the rotational energy of this system really increased a lot today. Yesterday when I last checked the visuals I couldn't spot any rotation yet, but it's clear as day now.
It was noticable at a 12 hour loop Yesterday
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
CDO is developing
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:CDO is developing
yeah...for sure...98L becoming better organized as time goes by...
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supercane4867
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
If Iota doesn't crash into CA directly(which is increasingly likely the case), it could end up to be the strongest storm of the season.
No kidding
No kidding
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
supercane4867 wrote:If Iota doesn't crash into CA directly(which is increasingly likely the case), it could end up to be the strongest storm of the season.
No kidding
That could be a catastrophic ending too since they are still picking up from Eta.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
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alanstover
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Here are some pictures of what it looks like in Northern Guatemala currently.
https://www.prensalibre.com/ciudades/al ... a-por-eta/
https://www.prensalibre.com/ciudades/al ... -breaking/
There are still a lot of people missing, many assumed buried by the numerous large landslides that occurred last week.
https://www.prensalibre.com/ciudades/al ... a-por-eta/
https://www.prensalibre.com/ciudades/al ... -breaking/
There are still a lot of people missing, many assumed buried by the numerous large landslides that occurred last week.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion
Saved loop of 98L
There is a possible LLC to the south of the main Convection
There is a possible LLC to the south of the main Convection
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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