#4264 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:29 am
Ntxw wrote:Texas Snowman wrote:cctxhurricanewatcher wrote:[url]Joe Bastardi
@BigJoeBastardi
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2m
quite frankly. if the GFS is right and I think it has a shot, in terms of extremes meteorologically. this is the winter equal to a cat 5 hurricane hit in the hurricane season for Texas and the deep south.[/url]
With the usual caveat that this is my opinion and people should base their decisions on official forecasts and information, I think Joe B might be right. If we get what some of these model runs are showing, it could be once in a lifetime stuff, a Cat 5 in the Gulf wintertime event that really happens. This isn't your garden variety event (at the moment, at least) where Brent finally gets his long awaited DFW snowstorm. With the threat of an icing event looming (maybe significant in places), we could see power supply problems mount across one of the most heavily populated corridors of our state. And that's before the severe arctic cold fully arrives and along with it, a potentially big snowstorm too. If we do get significant ice that causes problems, repairing any of the power grid would be difficult, maybe even impossible for a few days. And we could easily see government orders for schools and businesses to shut down to conserve power and get it to homes for heating (I remember that happening a few times in the 1980s). If it gets as cold as some model runs have suggested, and it has the staying power being suggested, we're in for a siege of winter weather that will not only break records, but could prove deadly due to power loss and all of the travel nightmares. While I understand local mets conservatively easing into their forecasts for something so extreme and possibly even historical, IMO we're quickly reaching critical mass of a possible multi-day event that will have a huge impact in our part of the world. IMO, they'll need to start sounding the alarm bells very soon so people can do whatever they need to do in order to be prepared. This is increasingly ominous and if it all verifies, I'd bet by the end of next week, this thread is nearing 500 pages or more.
This has potential to go 1899 and 1983 tier category at least for us. It may not beat the hours below freezing or -8 but you are hovering with that group.
I seriously think its possible, i dont know ALL the details when comparing the events, but what is huge in this case is the amount of snow cover over the entire state. Snow cover sill be huge. Down here to SE Tx, we will have out own bit of ice cover, but we wont have calm winds. Winds will be out of the north coming from areas with huge snow cover. I dont know how that will play in final calculations, but i think the reason we are seeing such deep dives in temp is due to snow cover.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or 
