Aric Dunn wrote:Strong Mid level Circ and Good Low level Curvature. Wont take long to close off if convection maintains. that MLC is at 3N just as an FYI lol
https://i.ibb.co/CHB8Pds/LABELS-19700101-000000-87.gif
The longer this stays south (under 12-15N), the better chance this will have to develop and survive as a TC until it hits a wall of shear, assuming there is a wall of shear to meet it. It won’t arrive at the Lesser Antilles for another week, so a lot of things can change.
It can survive a little north of 10N by the time it gets to 45-50W, but that won’t be for another 5-7 days.