ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[GCANE]

In the last couple satellite photo was that an eye trying to form?

A little too early yet.
Need to see those towers starting rotating CCW around each other first.

[eastcoastFL]

If we didn’t have recon, visible and some kind of radar I wouldn’t have a clue what to make of an IR presentation like this. Lol what is that?

[GCANE]

Upper troposphere cooling off.
Towers getting stronger.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

This storms IR presentation is a mess.

[GCANE]

Recon in the air

[aspen]

This storms IR presentation is a mess.

https://i.imgur.com/cMPwLJC.jpg

Elsa’s attempts to make an IR storm snowflake are less than successful.

[psyclone]

It looks like a random mess of transient blobs. no banding, no good organization. But it does keep firing convection so there's still a pulse there somewhere

[skyline385]

If we didn’t have recon, visible and some kind of radar I wouldn’t have a clue what to make of an IR presentation like this. Lol what is that?

https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/sessions/69464042.gif?0.595577342163945

The Mid level circulation is worse than when it was a tropical wave lol

[toad strangler]

This storms IR presentation is a mess.

https://i.imgur.com/cMPwLJC.jpg

It's small to boot.

[Jr0d]

This storms IR presentation is a mess.

https://i.imgur.com/cMPwLJC.jpg

Remember how ragged Isiasis was when recon found hurricane winds?

Typical of a system that is being choked by the mountains....add the self induced wind shear and look what we have.

I do think the ingredients are there for strengthening tonight...I am seeing tale tell signs of improvement though it could just be my confirmation bias.

[wxman57]

Good video by Levi: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PzZmvlL3lCs&t=59s

[GCANE]

3 towers.
Enough to start heating up the core between them.

Red arrows depict latent heat flow out of each.
Heat is concentrated in the center of the three.

[InfernoFlameCat]

It looks like a random mess of transient blobs. no banding, no good organization. But it does keep firing convection so there's still a pulse there somewhere

looks like a wave

[InfernoFlameCat]

3 towers.
Enough to start heating up the core between them.

Red arrows depict latent heat flow out of each.
Heat is concentrated in the center of the three.


https://i.imgur.com/XLSwjLU.png

unfortunately the center is to the west of all of them

[skyline385]

3 towers.
Enough to start heating up the core between them.

Red arrows depict latent heat flow out of each.
Heat is concentrated in the center of the three.


https://i.imgur.com/XLSwjLU.png

unfortunately the center is to the west of all of them

Story of Elsa so far

[Hammy]

Worth noting there's been a fairly hard westward push of the western edge of the cirrus envelope over the last several hours--which hasn't been present at all today up to this point--which indicates the upper outflow is reestablishing itself.

[aspen]

3 towers.
Enough to start heating up the core between them.

Red arrows depict latent heat flow out of each.
Heat is concentrated in the center of the three.


https://i.imgur.com/XLSwjLU.png

unfortunately the center is to the west of all of them

There is a new tower firing over the LLC, though it’s not one of the ones GCANE has marked.

[Aric Dunn]

Let the deepening commence......

[ElectricStorm]

If Elsa can hold out until the morning when it gets to DMAX as well as a slower speed than I think it could strengthen at a pretty good pace before it reaches Cuba.

[GrayLancer18]

My God.

I thought there would be some improvement but this thing is getting worse by the hour.

I think the Euro was up to something and this will unravel before it reaches FL.