aspen wrote:AlphaToOmega wrote:The MDR is 0.62 C above-average.
https://i.postimg.cc/X72Yj09y/ssta-graph-atlmdr.png
The OISST seems to have a warm bias. On the CRW map, it’s 0.24C above average. Both agree that the Gulf is roughly 0.55-0.65C warmer that normal, but are very different with the Caribbean: +0.81C (OISST) vs +0.39C (CRW). Regardless, everything is running warmer than average now.
The mean SSTs in the Gulf have risen to 30.01C. This combined with the extra-warm Loop Current really make me concerned about something going bonkers in the Gulf, if it’s given the optimal moisture and shear/UL setup.
The Gulf Current has really been spiking in UOHC, this was definitely not evident even in the recent crazy years like 2017 or 2020 if I recall