When will Ida form?

AlphaToOmega · #1 Postby **AlphaToOmega** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 2:15 pm

AL082021 has just been upgraded to Tropical Storm Henri. With this development, it seems fitting to conduct a poll on when Ida will form.
-August 16-20
-August 21-31
-September 1-10
-September 11-21
-September 22-30
-October or later
-The season will end with Henri

AutoPenalti · #2 Postby **AutoPenalti** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 2:21 pm

August 21-31

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 2:23 pm

Made the poll that will close on August 22.

ElectricStorm · #4 Postby **ElectricStorm** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 2:25 pm

Going with August 21-31

Category5Kaiju · #5 Postby **Category5Kaiju** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 2:28 pm

If August 21-31 is not the answer, I would be beyond shocked.

Also, just curious, but is there a reason why "this season will end with Henri" is even a choice? Is it just for the trolls?

#6 Postby **AnnularCane** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 2:33 pm

August 21-31.

I was halfway tempted to vote for "the season will end with Henri" just for the reaction. :lol:

#7 Postby **captainbarbossa19** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 2:42 pm

August 21-31. Why do I have a feeling that Grace is going to bomb out later and that Ida is going to be ugly too?

aspen · #8 Postby **aspen** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 2:47 pm

Also August 21-31st. Seems unlikely that anything else will form within the next 4 days, but long-range models and the ensembles suggest the yearly bell ringing will signal more storms.

We might need to watch the wave currently SSW of the Cape Verde islands to see if it gets organized quickly and starts developing without much model support like Grace’s precursor.

Stormybajan · #9 Postby **Stormybajan** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 3:06 pm

I had August 21st-31st for Henri but 96L/TD8 scooped that up, so ill go again for that timeframe with Ida the notorious I Storm. Given the date it should be AEW based also, we'll see 8-)

IcyTundra · #10 Postby **IcyTundra** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 3:11 pm

captainbarbossa19 wrote:August 21-31. Why do I have a feeling that Grace is going to bomb out later and that Ida is going to be ugly too?

I always have a bad feeling about "I" storms. 11 retired "I" named storms more than any other letter retired storms include Isabel, Ivan, Ike, Irene, and Irma.

Category5Kaiju · #11 Postby **Category5Kaiju** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 5:28 pm

IcyTundra wrote:
captainbarbossa19 wrote:August 21-31. Why do I have a feeling that Grace is going to bomb out later and that Ida is going to be ugly too?
I always have a bad feeling about "I" storms. 11 retired "I" named storms more than any other letter retired storms include Isabel, Ivan, Ike, Irene, and Irma.

Iota too (even the Greek alphabet is subject to this curse), with Imelda and Isaias being close calls. I swear, sometimes I wonder if we should just ban I names from being assigned to storms altogether and instead skip from H names to J names. It almost feels like Mother Nature has a built-in mechanism to always make the I storm the worst.

AlphaToOmega · #12 Postby **AlphaToOmega** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 6:45 pm

Category5Kaiju wrote:If August 21-31 is not the answer, I would be beyond shocked.

Also, just curious, but is there a reason why "this season will end with Henri" is even a choice? Is it just for the trolls?

I want to take into account the 1/10⁹⁹⁹ possibility the climate models bust and we end up with a Super El Niño for the rest of the season.

Iceresistance · #13 Postby **Iceresistance** » Mon Aug 16, 2021 6:48 pm

AlphaToOmega wrote:
Category5Kaiju wrote:If August 21-31 is not the answer, I would be beyond shocked.

Also, just curious, but is there a reason why "this season will end with Henri" is even a choice? Is it just for the trolls?

I want to take into account the 1/10⁹⁹⁹ possibility the climate models bust and we end up with a Super El Niño for the rest of the season.

Oh you are no fun! :lol: