ForexTidbits wrote:gatorcane wrote:ForexTidbits wrote:https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1429039499208761344
The GEFS looks to have woken up with WCAR/BOC/WGOM development which aligns with the CMC/GEPS/EPS.I don’t buy the GFS Florida storm in fantasy land which looks like more of an October track not to mention an outlier.
https://i.postimg.cc/8CWPmS7J/gfs-ememb-lowlocs-watl-fh138-204.gif
GEFS Ensemble has been very consistent on this idea as well as some ECENS ensemble coming on board on some runs as well. I would prefer following ensemble data as it provides a more broad picture instead of just one model run.
Agreed. The other point is that the GFS Florida storm at 300+ hours is another storm that the model forms after forming a storm which heads into the BOC and landfalls in Mexico like the models are doing. The Florida storm will probably be gone in the next run. Bottom-line: WCAR/BOC/WGOM development looks increasingly possible.