ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
Dropsonde has 113 knots not too far above the surface. Although these are probably gusts, it is indicative that Ida is a solid (and strengthening) Category 2 hurricane.
Last edited by Hypercane_Kyle on Sat Aug 28, 2021 8:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Highteeld wrote:StormPyrate wrote:I thought they had reported eye closed earlier
Last VDM came through said "open to the south"
Incorrect.Code: Select all
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 967mb (28.56 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 130° at 10kts (From the SE at 12mph)
F. Eye Character: Closed
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)
no, the one previous to that. i should have clarified that
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
grapealcoholic wrote:Wind field starting to symmetrize
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/09L-2DWIND.GIF
I'm new to this graphic. I'm assuming the numbers in the bottom left are the distance in miles from center? Also red is peak or max winds? Green is hurricane+ winds? Blue TS+ winds?
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
tolakram wrote:https://i.imgur.com/27hnUPX.png
Does the track seem like it missed the eye or is that just a plotting error?
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
Highteeld wrote:Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Highteeld wrote:Last VDM came through said "open to the south"
Incorrect.Code: Select all
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 967mb (28.56 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 130° at 10kts (From the SE at 12mph)
F. Eye Character: Closed
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)
no, the one previous to that. i should have clarified that
I understand. Sorry for the mixup.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
Red is hurricane, green is "50 kts" which is the severe thunderstorm threshold (think, takes down trees) and blue is TS force winds.Smurfwicked wrote:grapealcoholic wrote:Wind field starting to symmetrize
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/09L-2DWIND.GIF
I'm new to this graphic. I'm assuming the numbers in the bottom left are the distance in miles from center? Also red is peak or max winds? Green is hurricane+ winds? Blue TS+ winds?
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
RAP forecast at landfall tomorrow afternoon.
No convective inhibition but moving into drier mid-level air.
Not too sure this will be intensifying at landfall.

No convective inhibition but moving into drier mid-level air.
Not too sure this will be intensifying at landfall.

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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
Really coming together on IR now. Still on track to cat4 in my opinion.
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- SEASON_CANCELED
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
cheezyWXguy wrote:Really coming together on IR now. Still on track to cat4 in my opinion.
Agreed. Ill even forecast a Cat- 5 . My personal forecast....the waters support it.
We will wake to a nightmare
Just my opinion! Listen to your local Political Critters and the NHC for guidance and as always, see below
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Last edited by SEASON_CANCELED on Sat Aug 28, 2021 8:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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i am a big stupid ugly moron with an ugly face and a big butt and my butt stinks and i like to kiss my own butt
Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
Really digging that hot tower in the northern eyewall
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
- tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
Kermit ascending probably headed home. Next Flight AF take off a little after 1am central time.
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Tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
Also noteworthy that high tide will be in 10 hours
We dont have that going for us. thats an extra 2 feet
We dont have that going for us. thats an extra 2 feet
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i am a big stupid ugly moron with an ugly face and a big butt and my butt stinks and i like to kiss my own butt
Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
Stupid Godfather reference is stupid


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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
My guess for Ida’s intensity when I wake up at like 6 tomorrow morning: 954-958mb and 95-100 kt.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
GCANE wrote:Latest fix is just slightly south of track
[url]https://i.postimg.cc/HxzRpLhp/99L1.png [/url]
I asked Tolakram but it looks the track was south of the eye, do you think that could be a reason why or is it just a plotting error on the chart?
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
panamatropicwatch wrote:Kermit ascending probably headed home. Next Flight AF take off a little after 1am central time.
Hopefully they won't have any troubles this time unless it's a different plane. Anticipating waking up to a borderline cat 3 unless Ida pulls a fast one.
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Re: ATL: IDA - Hurricane - Discussion
Nate-Gillson wrote:panamatropicwatch wrote:Kermit ascending probably headed home. Next Flight AF take off a little after 1am central time.
Hopefully they won't have any troubles this time unless it's a different plane. Anticipating waking up to a borderline cat 3.
So will be 6 hours before we get another plane inside the storm. With a powerful hurricane gaining strength, this close to the coast. Just wonderful.
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