ATL: SAM - Remnants - Discussion

[grapealcoholic]

Looks like a high end Cat 4 now

[Sciencerocks]

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Current intensity makes a lot of sense. Don't see a lot of cat 5s (or near cat 5s) that don't have (nearly) perfectly symmetrical eyes. Albeit I do understand some of the current appearance is due to mesovortecies.

Also extremely rare for a storm to get back to Cat 5 after it initially peaks

Ivan: Am I a joke to you?

Irma, Isabel, Lorenzo...

[Hammy]

I take my eyes off the satellite loops for a few hours and come back to a dramatically improved eye presentation.

[Owasso]

Recon is up.

[grapealcoholic]

Eye has been contracting. Should allow for some deeper convection to fire

[sikkar]

Recon very close.

[Sciencerocks]

[grapealcoholic]

134 FL in the SW quad

[ElectricStorm]

134kt FL in SW quad. SFMR looks to be out of commission, at least for now

[NotoSans]

At least 130kt according to recon.

[ElectricStorm]

147kt FL

[ElectricStorm]

935.4 extrap

[grapealcoholic]

Eye still contracting on IR..

[ElectricStorm]

Eye temp up to +18.4C on ADT

[Sciencerocks]

Borderline for 135 knts. We'll see if we can get it up to 140knts with new passes during this mission or not.

[ElectricStorm]

Hurricane Sam Intermediate Advisory Number 34A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182021
200 AM AST Fri Oct 01 2021

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS SAM A LITTLE
STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 61.6W
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES

[AxaltaRacing24]

Hurricane Sam Intermediate Advisory Number 34A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182021
200 AM AST Fri Oct 01 2021

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS SAM A LITTLE
STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 61.6W
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.64 INCHES

Easily the most impressive longtracker since Irma/Jose

[grapealcoholic]

DMAX is legit, even for mature storms

[Shell Mound]

This is easily the weakest-looking 130-kt system that I have seen on satellite, given lingering southwestern shear, the large, some what ragged eye, and the fairly warm, expansive CDO. Dorian, by contrast, was less sheared and far better organized. I wonder whether those FL winds are mixing to the surface. Also, 936 mb is a relatively high MSLP for a large 130-kt system at Sam's current cooordinates, near the subtropics. I am not a professional, of course, but maybe surface winds are lower than FL would suggest.