Texas Winter 2021-2022

Winter Weather Discussion

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CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4821 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:20 pm

The 30s (39 or lower) line now stretches from Sherman, Denton, FTW, Granbury, Stevensville, to Brownwood.

Currently 42 @ DFW, 41 @ Love Field

I would say the 32 line would be along this same line by 4pm.
Last edited by CaptinCrunch on Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4822 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:21 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:
Brent wrote:
harp wrote:Just a heads up, check out the long range GFS….


Looks very familiar but I can't quite place it :lol: :spam: https://i.ibb.co/NT4P6tg/gfs-mslp-pcpn-frzn-us-49.png


NO TWO SYSTEMS/STORMS ARE ALIKE!!!!!!!!

:wink:


It's the Timing that is kinda insane.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4823 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:27 pm

opticsguy wrote:
Ralph's Weather wrote:My company is deploying 500+ people for utility damage assessment. Most being deployed to either DFW or Tulsa.


Does Upsur Electric co-op have their own linemen, or do they use Oncor?

I haven't been in this industry long enough to know that. I'm going to bet it Oncor.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4824 Postby Haris » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:29 pm

yall that hrrr for you in ntx is nuts
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4825 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:30 pm

:uarrow:

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4826 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:31 pm

Euro reduces snowfall totals a bit, but it's been so inconsistent, hard to take much stock into it. Seems the high-res should be more the focus now.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4827 Postby opticsguy » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:31 pm

Ralph's Weather wrote:
opticsguy wrote:
Ralph's Weather wrote:My company is deploying 500+ people for utility damage assessment. Most being deployed to either DFW or Tulsa.


Does Upsur Electric co-op have their own linemen, or do they use Oncor?

I haven't been in this industry long enough to know that. I'm going to bet it Oncor.


There are two massive pines near our house in HLR. A branch falling down could do some serious damage. Hoping the freezing rain there is light.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4828 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:33 pm

Tulsa saying up to 10 inches possible now that's the highest they've had since the warning went up :froze: :cold: :double: was 8 earlier
Last edited by Brent on Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4829 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:34 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Euro reduces snowfall totals a bit, but it's been so inconsistent, hard to take much stock into it. Seems the high-res should be more the focus now.


It expanded 2" line further east close to 75 while reducing Tarrant county a bit (from 6z). It's about banding and where the heavy qpf is run to run. Not bad though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4830 Postby DFWLady » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:37 pm

gboudx wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:My district (Keller) has closed for Thursday and Friday. They are extremely conservative, so I bet most Tarrant districts will call it now. FW did earlier.


Rockwall ISD has done the same. News came out at 11am. Both Thursday and Friday.


Yep, my kids will be thrilled! I'm actually hoping the school doesn't tell them so I can wake them up early and make them get all ready to go :D mean mom I know! They'll be thrilled when I tell them nevermind, hot chocolate for everyone!

I'm definitely hoping for a quicker change over to snow, not a fan of ice!
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4831 Postby wxman57 » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:37 pm

18Z SFC analysis with freezing line.  Leading edge of front is eroding away.  Reinforcing surge of cold air is on the way.  Freezing line is not pushing southeast very rapidly toward the DFW area, but it will get there this evening, right on schedule. I'm still trying to keep the sub-freezing temps out of SW Houston tomorrow night during the light precip. I have nowhere to go, though. It's 68 right now in SW Houston and I have my desk heater going, trying to keep warm. Glad I'm not up north in D-FW.

http://wxman57.com/images/18ZSFC.JPG

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4832 Postby EnnisTx » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:38 pm

Haris wrote:yall that hrrr for you in ntx is nuts



There's a Cat 5 in the I 35 corridor... :spam:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4833 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:43 pm

6z Euro is showing 11-14 inches of snow across Central, Eastern, & NE Oklahoma
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4834 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:47 pm

EnnisTx wrote:
Haris wrote:yall that hrrr for you in ntx is nuts



There's a Cat 5 in the I 35 corridor... :spam:

Warm nose appears to be flattening very slightly with each run too. Was just comparing the sounding over Dallas at 9pm on the 15z vs 17z runs
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4835 Postby wxman57 » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:51 pm

Latest (12Z) GFS precip maps. Still looks like y'all might get a little winter weather up in the D-FW area and eastern Oklahoma. I want my 80F+ temps back after this!

http://wxman57.com/images/TXSN4.png
http://wxman57.com/images/TXIP4.png
http://wxman57.com/images/TXZR4.png
http://wxman57.com/images/TXRN4.png

Image

Image

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4836 Postby gboudx » Wed Feb 02, 2022 1:55 pm

Since winter storm's are named now, it appears this one is named Winter Storm Landon. Got an email from Fedex about it:

Winter Storm Landon
Wednesday, February 2, 2022

The FedEx meteorology and operations teams are closely monitoring Winter Storm Landon as it develops across the Central United States. The storm could create hazardous conditions for our team members and their safety remains our number one priority.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4837 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Feb 02, 2022 2:02 pm



Maybe in March. February looks pretty cold.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4838 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 02, 2022 2:03 pm

opticsguy wrote:
Ralph's Weather wrote:
opticsguy wrote:
Does Upsur Electric co-op have their own linemen, or do they use Oncor?

I haven't been in this industry long enough to know that. I'm going to bet it Oncor.


There are two massive pines near our house in HLR. A branch falling down could do some serious damage. Hoping the freezing rain there is light.

It's hard to get these companies to fix something like that before it becomes a problem. We make recommendations all the time for coops to fix issues we find, rarely do that act on those.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4839 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Feb 02, 2022 2:03 pm

Updated timing graphic from FWD

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#4840 Postby jasons2k » Wed Feb 02, 2022 2:05 pm

Centerpoint does a great job of regular tree pruning down here. Every year they get trimmed. We have a lot of trees and they learned their lesson after Ike.
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