Texas Winter 2021-2022

[Cerlin]

About a half inch accumulation of sleet and another half of snow right now. Would have liked some more by now but snow has picked up again and heavier stuff is on the way.

I've been only getting sleet right now, but that's going to change evenutally.

That's interesting you're getting sleet that far north (relative to us in TX). All the stations around I see report snow.

It’s been a lot of sleet for me here and it keeps switching between snow and sleet. Warm nose is being pesky.

[UTSARoadrunner4]

RGEM looks pretty cold too Saturday. So technically GFS isn't alone. For it to happen, ice pack will need to be fairly thick (could be) with basically no wind or clouds (also could be with HP sitting overhead) for maximum radiational cooling.

https://i.imgur.com/kq8PpxN.png

Wow!! Below freezing all the way to the RGV.

[Iceresistance]

About a half inch accumulation of sleet and another half of snow right now. Would have liked some more by now but snow has picked up again and heavier stuff is on the way.

I've been only getting sleet right now, but that's going to change evenutally.

That's interesting you're getting sleet that far north (relative to us in TX). All the stations around I see report snow.

It's now a Sleet/Snow Mix, & the Snow is starting win out.

[Brent]

I've been only getting sleet right now, but that's going to change evenutally.

That's interesting you're getting sleet that far north (relative to us in TX). All the stations around I see report snow.

It’s been a lot of sleet for me here and it keeps switching between snow and sleet. Warm nose is being pesky.

Yeah I'm hearing sleet again here too. It seems like when it lessens up a bit that's the sleet. Heavier rates snow

[Ntxw]

That's interesting you're getting sleet that far north (relative to us in TX). All the stations around I see report snow.

It’s been a lot of sleet for me here and it keeps switching between snow and sleet. Warm nose is being pesky.

Yeah I'm hearing sleet again here too. It seems like when it lessens up a bit that's the sleet. Heavier rates snow

That's interesting. Means heavier qpf is playing a role in cooling the column a lot of dynamics at play. There really isn't a strong vorticity max above (cold air pocket), mostly overrunning with impulses. The vortmax is sitting in AZ/NM border.

[gboudx]

Someone had to do it.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2022020218/gfs_asnow_scus_9.png

Sitting directly under that 17 isn't so cool.

Yeah that’s a bit much. But we’ll be able to tell everyone if it happens. Assuming we have electricity.

[Ntxw]

FW, Denton, McKinney all 32F. DFW/Love field are both 34. Most are sitting between those two numbers north of I-20. Safe to say the models that said 32F would hit Thursday morning a couple of days ago were a tad off.

[Brent]

It’s been a lot of sleet for me here and it keeps switching between snow and sleet. Warm nose is being pesky.

Yeah I'm hearing sleet again here too. It seems like when it lessens up a bit that's the sleet. Heavier rates snow

That's interesting. Means heavier qpf is playing a role in cooling the column a lot of dynamics at play. There really isn't a strong vorticity max above (cold air pocket), mostly overrunning with impulses. The vortmax is sitting in AZ/NM border.

https://i.imgur.com/9MBEdv3.png

Well that was kind of always my argument here about the warm nose wrecking our potential I figured heavy rates would cause it to snow basically. I've seen that before

[Ntxw]

For giggles.

Euro from 0z last Thursday yikes.



GFS not perfect but way closer to reality.

[ElectricStorm]

Yeah I'm hearing sleet again here too. It seems like when it lessens up a bit that's the sleet. Heavier rates snow

That's interesting. Means heavier qpf is playing a role in cooling the column a lot of dynamics at play. There really isn't a strong vorticity max above (cold air pocket), mostly overrunning with impulses. The vortmax is sitting in AZ/NM border.

https://i.imgur.com/9MBEdv3.png

Well that was kind of always my argument here about the warm nose wrecking our potential I figured heavy rates would cause it to snow basically. I've seen that before

Yeah with the sleet sticking around earlier I think we may end up with less total accumulation here. Hopefully we get some big bands tonight but I'm not as optimistic as I was this morning. I'm guessing you'll still get a solid amount up there though.

[EnnisTx]

For giggles.

Euro from 0z last Thursday yikes.

https://i.imgur.com/hQWFUTb.png

GFS not perfect but way closer to reality.

https://i.imgur.com/Ac2W4gC.png

King Euroff Vs GFS the new King.

[Quixotic]

Can confirm freezing rain here in Frisco. Trees and cars right now.

[cheezyWXguy]

For giggles.

Euro from 0z last Thursday yikes.

https://i.imgur.com/hQWFUTb.png

GFS not perfect but way closer to reality.

https://i.imgur.com/Ac2W4gC.png

Wow the gfs there is, what, an hour ahead of schedule? Impressive for 6 days out

[bubba hotep]

Seeing some mPING sleet/ice pellet reports in DFW proper. Don't know how accurate those are?

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Texans watching records get shattered the next 24 hours

[Ntxw]

Seeing some mPING sleet/ice pellet reports in DFW proper. Don't know how accurate those are?

RAP and HRRR depict it should be starting. I wouldn't discount the reports. Very intense batch of qpf incoming likely toying with profiles.

[orangeblood]

For giggles.

Euro from 0z last Thursday yikes.

https://i.imgur.com/hQWFUTb.png

GFS not perfect but way closer to reality.

https://i.imgur.com/Ac2W4gC.png

King Euroff Vs GFS the new King.

King Euro lost its crown long ago, maybe time for it to look into some assisted living centers

[GeauxTigers]

Glaze of ice on chairs outside & rain/freezing rain. Says it’s 30 degrees here in Tioga, TX.

[bubba hotep]

Seeing some personal wx stations now reporting 32F or lower south of 380.

[CaptinCrunch]

FW, Denton, McKinney all 32F. DFW/Love field are both 34. Most are sitting between those two numbers north of I-20. Safe to say the models that said 32F would hit Thursday morning a couple of days ago were a tad off.

32 here in Kennedale @ House, haven't gone to check car to see if ice is starting to accumulate, I'm barefooted in the ground is cold and wet