AL, 91, 2022060118, , BEST, 0, 190N, 875W, 25, 1007, DB
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/KArbzqR.png)
Moderator: S2k Moderators
skyline385 wrote:Guessing we might have some better model runs tonight with it consolidating
SFLcane wrote:skyline385 wrote:Guessing we might have some better model runs tonight with it consolidating
Just noticed we are neighbors lol. Thinking our area could see the heaviest rain but we shall see.
cycloneye wrote:Observations show is organizing.
https://twitter.com/ScotPilie_Wx/status/1532069464942190593
skyline385 wrote:SFLcane wrote:skyline385 wrote:Guessing we might have some better model runs tonight with it consolidating
Just noticed we are neighbors lol. Thinking our area could see the heaviest rain but we shall see.
Are you in Jupiter? Cause i know there is someone here who literally lives in the same community as me but in forgot the ID lol. But yea i am hoping for some good rain from this too.
jinftl wrote:Any thoughts on whether 91L will merit tropical storm watches or warnings for the Keys or southern peninsula of Florida by Friday?
Jelmergraaff wrote:jinftl wrote:Any thoughts on whether 91L will merit tropical storm watches or warnings for the Keys or southern peninsula of Florida by Friday?
Although I'm not an expert, I think a tropical storm watch is pretty likely. Regarding the location, almost all models have it tracking somewhere over Florida. And concering the wind speed, I guess the sustained wind will be quite close to tropical storm force. The NHC will probably issue a watch if it comes close to it, and a warning if it is likely to surpass the 39 mph threshold.
skyline385 wrote:Can someone confirm if I am seeing this right and the LLC seems to be forming midway better Yucatan and Cuba because all the models had it camping right besides Yucatan for another 24 hours. EURO even had it running inland before heading towards FL.
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220601/ec07215d97ddae01da8b9910c325016f.gif
SFLcane wrote:skyline385 wrote:Can someone confirm if I am seeing this right and the LLC seems to be forming midway better Yucatan and Cuba because all the models had it camping right besides Yucatan for another 24 hours. EURO even had it running inland before heading towards FL.
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220601/ec07215d97ddae01da8b9910c325016f.gif
Yup, shear is pushing everything east it could very well cut through the straits and bump against the florida shield.
IR isnt the tool to determine where the LLC is forming. Visible sat, ship reports, recon(dropsondes), etc. is needed.skyline385 wrote:Can someone confirm if I am seeing this right and the LLC seems to be forming midway better Yucatan and Cuba because all the models had it camping right besides Yucatan for another 24 hours. EURO even had it running inland before heading towards FL.
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests