ATL: FIONA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
tolakram
- Admin
- Posts: 20009
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
1 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
-
Sciencerocks
- Category 5
- Posts: 9155
- Age: 39
- Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:I kinda have a hard time believing this, but is Fiona going on RI or VRI already??
https://s5.gifyu.com/images/NW-Eyewall-Dropsonde-on-Fiona.png
https://s5.gifyu.com/images/NW-Eyewall-Dropsonde-on-Fiona.png
Aren't these instantaneous winds/gusts and not sustained though?
2 likes
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
ScottNAtlanta
- Category 5
- Posts: 2367
- Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
- Location: Atlanta, GA
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
People in Newfoundland really need to keep tabs on this in the future as well. This could be substantial when it gets there too
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
Hammy wrote:Iceresistance wrote:I kinda have a hard time believing this, but is Fiona going on RI or VRI already??
https://s5.gifyu.com/images/NW-Eyewall-Dropsonde-on-Fiona.png
https://s5.gifyu.com/images/NW-Eyewall-Dropsonde-on-Fiona.png
Aren't these instantaneous winds/gusts and not sustained though?
Yes, it could have gotten into a mesovort all the way down, which is why I'm not trusting that Dropsonde very well since the SW Eyewall Dropsonde in comparison has 50 knots at the surface.
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
ScottNAtlanta
- Category 5
- Posts: 2367
- Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
- Location: Atlanta, GA
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
Recon said the eye was 10 miles circular. That will probably collapse soon
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Blown Away
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 10146
- Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
Due W
1 likes
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
-
skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2728
- Age: 35
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Houston TX
-
ElectricStorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 5044
- Age: 24
- Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
- Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
I don't really see how this misses DR at this point. Hopefully it's not as destructive there as it appears to be in PR.
Praying for everyone involved. Truly a devastating storm.
Praying for everyone involved. Truly a devastating storm.
1 likes
B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
InfernoFlameCat wrote:Fiona appears to be moving west- southwest. we could see significant west shifts now. Fiona may get more disrupted, causing it to be weaker than otherwise, slowing down, and missing the trough that was supposed to pick it up.
I am no expert but my experience watching these systems through the years is a SW movement when it's rounding the ridge means it is reaching the edge of the ridge and will probably course correct soon. I definitely think it will make landfall in DR but I think it will probably only brush it. Let see what happens. It is always interesting to watch these situations when it goes off course.
3 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
InfernoFlameCat
- Category 5
- Posts: 2102
- Age: 22
- Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
- Location: Buford, GA
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
Fiona is still heading west. Huge burst over western eyewall will help close off the eye once more.
1 likes
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks a lot like Grace after passing over Jamaica: a really tiny core connected to a massive band on the east side.
0 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
ScottNAtlanta wrote:Recon said the eye was 10 miles circular. That will probably collapse soon
That core is small. It really contracted today. That core is going to get destroyed even over that portion of terrain in DR. It really needs to start turning soon.
The mid level is still West as of 00utc
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
blp wrote:InfernoFlameCat wrote:Fiona appears to be moving west- southwest. we could see significant west shifts now. Fiona may get more disrupted, causing it to be weaker than otherwise, slowing down, and missing the trough that was supposed to pick it up.
I am no expert but my experience watching these systems through the years is a SW movement when it's rounding the ridge means it is reaching the edge of the ridge and will probably course correct soon. I definitely think it will make landfall in DR but I think it will probably only brush it. Let see what happens. It is always interesting to watch these situations when it goes off course.
There's some orographic mechanics at play too I think. Large, mountainous islands like these produce a low pressure of sorts, which can pull the track a bit to the left as they pass. Hortense in 1996 similarly made a significant west jog before turning northwest again, except this is moving slower so it's even more prolonged
4 likes
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
Fiona is starting to get further south and west than even the 18z gfs, Hwrf and euro showed. For any of them to verify, Fiona needs to head more NW now, and it just seems to be going more west. Could be just a wobble. So we're in wobble watch mode it seems.
1 likes
-
galaxy401
- Category 5
- Posts: 2419
- Age: 30
- Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
- Location: Casa Grande, Arizona
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
According to Wikipedia, Fiona is the 2nd wettest storm to hit the island of Guadalupe after Luis.
0 likes
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
Recon confirms WSW movement.
1 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
tolakram
- Admin
- Posts: 20009
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
saved radar
1 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
-
tolakram
- Admin
- Posts: 20009
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion
The blowup on the SW side is impressive, perhaps shear abating or some kind of mountain interaction.
0 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 18 guests