ATL: IAN - Models
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toad strangler
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
IcyTundra wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Euro has been very consistent with the south of Ft Meyers idea now for many runs. It makes way more sense with the Tampa/ Sarasota strike such a rare climo entry location.
With that said the complete miss of FL peninsula is getting less likely by the minute.
It all depends on the timing of the turn. As we saw with Charley small changes in timing can make a big difference in the track.
Charley was pretty compact and this looks to be on the smallish size as well, from what I can tell.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Also, slightly further south. It may actually bring landfall south because we know it will head NE.
EdIT: nevermind move due North.
EdIT: nevermind move due North.
Last edited by blp on Fri Sep 23, 2022 11:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
blp wrote:Also, slightly further south. It may actually bring landfall south because we know it will head NE.
It's roughly the same.
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Heading N: Tampa? 
Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Sep 23, 2022 11:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
12z GFS sticking to its guns with a stronger system. Identical to the 06z GFS.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Nope, still heading N. Big change on the GFS
EDIT: Wrong run.
EDIT: Wrong run.
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Fri Sep 23, 2022 11:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
AutoPenalti wrote:Nope, still heading N. Big change on the GFS
wait is is slowing down, should turn NE
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
So why is the GFS ramming through the trough?
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Fri Sep 23, 2022 11:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
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TheHurricaneGod
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
AutoPenalti wrote:So why is the GFS ramming through the trough?
It's having the same issue that wxman57 explained about the GFS still.
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SFLcane
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
AutoPenalti wrote:So why is the GFS ramming through the trough?
https://i.imgur.com/dom8FUP.png
Thats just dumb!
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
Crawling north
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NINE - Models
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