ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[fllawyer]

FYI, just announced Hillsborough County (Tampa) schools will be closed Monday to Thursday.

[floridasun]

what change more stift to naple area and fort Myers area?

[johngaltfla]

https://twitter.com/CC_StormWatch/status/1574156669730406400

That was less than optimal then, more so now.

[HurricaneBelle]

FYI, just announced Hillsborough County (Tampa) schools will be closed Monday to Thursday.

Pinellas schools will be open tomorrow, but closed Tuesday & Wednesday for now.

[galaxy401]

Tonight will really be the chance for Ian to rapidly intensify. I kept saying that Ian is starting to look better the last couple days but it never lived up to it. But maybe this will be the one... Anything less and it will be seen as an underachiever. One DMAX can change everything though. I remember back in 2017 when Harvey had a significant convective blowup in the Gulf of Mexico. It went from a rather disorganized storm to getting that "look" within hours.

[Jr0d]

FYI, just announced Hillsborough County (Tampa) schools will be closed Monday to Thursday.

No school closures for Monroe County (Florida Keys) despite being under a TS watch.

[tropicwatch]

Might be looking at a pressure drop. HH is not to the center and reporting around 1002.9mb.

[InfernoFlameCat]

Ian may have the beginnings of an eyewall. Convection is popping up around a circular area at this moment. Its very interesting as to whether that is organized convection or not.

[Iceresistance]

Might be looking at a pressure drop. HH is not to the center and reporting around 1002.9mb.

The latest NHC advisory has the pressure at 997 mb.

[tolakram]

Recon getting close. For the HWRF model to be close we need 995MB and 43kt winds (aprox)

[cycloneye]

Might be looking at a pressure drop. HH is not to the center and reporting around 1002.9mb.

The latest NHC advisory has the pressure at 997 mb.

5:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 25
Location: 16.2°N 80.3°W
Moving: WNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 1003 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph

[tropicwatch]

Might be looking at a pressure drop. HH is not to the center and reporting around 1002.9mb.

The latest NHC advisory has the pressure at 997 mb.

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 80.3W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSE OF GRAND CAYMAN
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM SE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

[Iceresistance]

Might be looking at a pressure drop. HH is not to the center and reporting around 1002.9mb.

The latest NHC advisory has the pressure at 997 mb.

5:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 25
Location: 16.2°N 80.3°W
Moving: WNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 1003 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph

My bad, the '997 mb' was likely from a previous advisory.

[kevin]

Finally a pressure drop, recon found 999.6 mb and might still not be at the center (if it has one). Also, so far 41 kt FL winds and 38 kt SFMR.

[galaxy401]

Safe to say that Ian is finally intensifying now.

[skyline385]

Finally a pressure drop, recon found 999.6 mb and might still not be at the center (if it has one). Also, so far 41 kt FL winds and 38 kt SFMR.

I am thinking the NHC's Location: 16.2°N 80.3°W is off, the 40 kts FL winds are almost a full longitude & latitude away.

[Iceresistance]

Finally a pressure drop, recon found 999.6 mb and might still not be at the center (if it has one). Also, so far 41 kt FL winds and 38 kt SFMR.

The location from the NHC advisory has it at 16.2°N, 80.3°W.

And recon has just passed 17°N per 2223z update.

[Jr0d]

Finally a pressure drop, recon found 999.6 mb and might still not be at the center (if it has one). Also, so far 41 kt FL winds and 38 kt SFMR.

Next data set will go through the center. I think we sre seeing more NW or even NNW than WNW motion, so it will be interesting to see what fixes we get on a center.

[tolakram]

[Frank P]

Finally a pressure drop, recon found 999.6 mb and might still not be at the center (if it has one). Also, so far 41 kt FL winds and 38 kt SFMR.

It has one and shows up nicely on the Jamaica radar loops