GCANE wrote:Just looked at 200mb vort at CIMSS.
Ian is pushing back the PV streamers to its west, making room for longer term intensification.
This was from a few nights ago, but I was wondering what causes those PV streamers out there in the GOM like that? Great to see you back GCANE!
Currently, its an unexpected turn of events but I wouldn't bet on a CAT5 landfall just due to the incredible rarity of US CAT5 LFs and the slow movement of Ian (and heading). Even if its one now. I give it 15% chance. 130-135 knot LF exponentially higher odds. I agree with those that think this is going to be the worst hurricane the west coast of FL has ever seen, this is history.