ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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- Extratropical94
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
126 kt surface gust in NW/W eyewall drop
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Michele B wrote:OMG!!! Just got the most disturbing news....
One of our neighbors' husband just passed away. She is all alone at their home - WITH HIM. EMS WILL NOT COME as the winds are over 45 mph......
This storm is so terrible already.....
That is absolutely awful!!!!
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Michele B wrote:OMG!!! Just got the most disturbing news....
One of our neighbors' husband just passed away. She is all alone at their home - WITH HIM. EMS WILL NOT COME as the winds are over 45 mph......
This storm is so terrible already.....
I am so sorry to hear this!

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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Eye drop supports 938. Looks like its past its peak. Doesn't change any impacts though whatsoever
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
If the wind sensors don’t catch a Fist of God they won’t catch the true power of this hurricane.
Chuck
Chuck
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Although I have been a hurricane forecaster since 1980 that only means I've been wrong lots of times.
- Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
cheezyWXguy wrote:Wut…is recon not doing another pass?
Recon is going to try to make another pass before the eye is too far inland to make another one.
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Eye drop is pretty dry (49% at 850mb), but I’m not sure if that’s due to another EWRC trying to start, or because the eye is so close to land.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Personally I think Ian peaked at 140 kts around 8 am this morning. The CDO started to warm after that. I think a little weakening occurred if you can call it that at these intensities. I agree with CrazyC83’s assessment of 130 kts at landfall as being reasonable.
Regardless the surge, rain, and wind impacts will be identical as 10 mph make little difference when at Cat 4 and higher strength.
Regardless the surge, rain, and wind impacts will be identical as 10 mph make little difference when at Cat 4 and higher strength.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
WeatherOrKnot wrote:Michele B wrote:OMG!!! Just got the most disturbing news....
One of our neighbors' husband just passed away. She is all alone at their home - WITH HIM. EMS WILL NOT COME as the winds are over 45 mph......
This storm is so terrible already.....
That is absolutely awful!!!!
OMG, how horrible!!! That poor lady.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:cheezyWXguy wrote:Wut…is recon not doing another pass?
Recon is going to try to make another pass before the eye is too far inland to make another one.
Hopefully. I thought it peculiar they ascended and went over land instead of heading west. Maybe to get another center pass in shorter time? Doesn’t matter to impacts obviously but it would feel like a miss to not sample that west quadrant
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
TallyTracker wrote:Michele B wrote:OMG!!! Just got the most disturbing news....
One of our neighbors' husband just passed away. She is all alone at their home - WITH HIM. EMS WILL NOT COME as the winds are over 45 mph......
This storm is so terrible already.....
I am so sorry to hear this!A similar thing happened to my uncle during Hurricane Michael. EMS couldn’t help him either. I will be praying for the lady.
Thank you. I don't remember ever hearing a story so terrible.
We are hunkered down at our church. My husband and another fellow with a 1 ton 4-wheel p/u offered to go get her, but she will not leave him.
There will be many more stories like this....
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- Ed_2001
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
With how wide and robust the eyewall is, Sarasota and possibly even Bradenton may get into the core of the storm down the road, the only plus side is the wind direction there would blow water away from the shore


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The answer my friend, is blowing in the wind...
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:Landy wrote:Very worried for the poster Sanibel right now.
Sanibel got out
Didn't see that... Good to hear.
Family has lost power in Cape Coral.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Mesoscale Discussion 1842
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1227 PM CDT Wed Sep 28 2022
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1842.html
Areas affected...Parts of central and east-central FL
Concerning...Tornado Watch 546...
Valid 281727Z - 281915Z
CORRECTED FOR WIND DIRECTION AT MELBOURNE
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 546 continues.
SUMMARY...The risk of a few tornadoes should gradually increase
across parts of central and east-central FL this afternoon, with a
potential focus from Lake Okeechobee northward to near Orlando FL
during the next few hours.
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1227 PM CDT Wed Sep 28 2022
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1842.html
Areas affected...Parts of central and east-central FL
Concerning...Tornado Watch 546...
Valid 281727Z - 281915Z
CORRECTED FOR WIND DIRECTION AT MELBOURNE
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 546 continues.
SUMMARY...The risk of a few tornadoes should gradually increase
across parts of central and east-central FL this afternoon, with a
potential focus from Lake Okeechobee northward to near Orlando FL
during the next few hours.
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- weeniepatrol
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:Landy wrote:Very worried for the poster Sanibel right now.
Sanibel got out
Thank goodness! Best possible decision
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
I think the S and SW eyewall are where will deliver the nastiest punch. Fort Myers Beach is getting absolutely clobbered and Port Charlotte and Punta Gorda aren't seeing much yet.
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