
ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
He's really crawling now. Landfall has been "minutes away" for two hours now! 

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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Rail Dawg wrote:kassi wrote:ConvergenceZone wrote:Man, I'm so worried about our member "Sanibel" here. They are talking like there may not be nothing left of the island due to the storm surge. I know he said he was leaving, but worried that he may not have a home left
I lost my home, everything in it, and all of my vehicles in Harvey. It was a nightmare, but my family survived. If he is safe, that's the most important thing.
I lived in Houston for Harvey.
Spent 3 days and nights in my 22’ aluminum boat rescuing folks in river conditions.
My hat is off to the Cajun Navy. Those guys are relentless.
Chuck
I live 100M east of Houston and we got 67". Cajun Navy was here as well. I evacuated 0.2 miles away and they couldn't evacuate. I walked back to my house and almost died in my backyard because it turned into quicksand.
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Living at the intersection of Rita and Humberto and Ike and Harvey and Laura and Delta!
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological products.
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological products.
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Two SE eyewall passes:
Outbound: 136 kt FL, 121 kt SFMR, extrap 934.6 mb
Inbound: 133 kt FL, 119 kt SFMR, extrap 933.5 mb
Outbound: 136 kt FL, 121 kt SFMR, extrap 934.6 mb
Inbound: 133 kt FL, 119 kt SFMR, extrap 933.5 mb
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
CronkPSU wrote:skillz305 wrote:How fast are they really projecting Ian to lose its strength. From cat 4(5) to a tropical storm by time of reaching ECFL?
11 AM discussion said it could still be near cat 1 strength when it reaches the East Coast
I commented the same concern a few hours ago on this thread. It’s a real possibility.
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Heather
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

Wow. Thought it would weaken prior to landfall but this is an impressive hurricane. My hope is everyone heeded the warnings in the Sarasota through Naples coastline and evacuated. Going to be a terrible scene tomorrow unfortunately. Stay safe people.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Teban54 wrote:Two SE eyewall passes:
Outbound: 136 kt FL, 121 kt SFMR, extrap 934.6 mb
Inbound: 133 kt FL, 119 kt SFMR, extrap 933.5 mb
Two NW eyewall passes:
Inbound: 135 kt FL, 113 kt SFMR
Outbound: 124 kt FL, 115 kt SFMR
Last edited by Teban54 on Wed Sep 28, 2022 1:22 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
It's much higher than that. Two guys put it up and one stood on the other's shoulders to winch it to the post.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Been watching this one. Kory Hartman is moderating the livestream and said John Humphress put it 12 feet up, not six.
Two minutes later - Kory says it quit broadcasting, either under water or dead.
Last edited by sbcc on Wed Sep 28, 2022 1:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
they actually corrected that to say its 12 ft off the ground.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
CronkPSU wrote:skillz305 wrote:How fast are they really projecting Ian to lose its strength. From cat 4(5) to a tropical storm by time of reaching ECFL?
11 AM discussion said it could still be near cat 1 strength when it reaches the East Coast
Yup. Brevard County now under Hurricane Warning instead of TS Warning
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
GCANE wrote:Pretty much stalled out
Worst case on top of worst case.

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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
sbcc wrote:
Been watching this one. Kory Hartman is moderating the livestream and said John Humphress put it 12 feet up, not six.
Two minutes later - Kory says it quit broadcasting, either under water or dead.
..... praying
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
WHOA Cantore almost got hit by lightning live on camera!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1575190420711260169
No sound on this one unfortunately.
Edit:
MUCH better video with sound
https://twitter.com/MikeTRose/status/15 ... 2708666368
https://twitter.com/i/status/1575190420711260169
No sound on this one unfortunately.
Edit:
MUCH better video with sound
https://twitter.com/MikeTRose/status/15 ... 2708666368
Last edited by CryHavoc on Wed Sep 28, 2022 1:29 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Barely moving. The east end of Sanibel still in and out of eyewall.


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M a r k
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
IMO, this stall is going to allow it to move NE
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Sanibel is getting one of the longest durations in the clear of the eye of a major hurricane I can recall. I wouldn't want to be there, but it would be something to behold, hours upon hours inside the core.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks like we're getting one last western eyewall pass, the plane just turned south.
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