Texas Fall 2022
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
It's actually New Boston, TX, but The Weather Channel map has it only labeled as Boston.
Earlier in Powderly, it's pretty bad:
https://twitter.com/dfwtx17/status/1588677343618351105
Earlier in Powderly, it's pretty bad:
https://twitter.com/dfwtx17/status/1588677343618351105
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Managed to see Brett Adair's Livestream from Ryan Hall Y'all (Actually very good with Livestreams), the tornado near New Boston, TX is HUGE!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Supercell with a Mesocyclone near Longview, TX, not tornado warned yet.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Reed timmer coverage was good also. He was at a gas station when it hit but it barely missed him. He drove back 5 miles to that gas station to pick up his drone, which was in the parking lot of exxon. That storm went just west of ashtown.
Last edited by Itryatgolf on Fri Nov 04, 2022 8:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Iceresistance wrote:Supercell with a Mesocyclone near Longview, TX, not tornado warned yet.
Things about to become linear buddy imo
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- jasons2k
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Friends from SW Austin just called and said “that was a hell of a storm!”
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Severe damage in Cason, TX and New Boston, TX
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
That Ryan Hall coverage is better than some local TV stations. Geez. The damage is heartbreaking. But, this was forecast very well by models and people, which is excellent.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
rwfromkansas wrote:That Ryan Hall coverage is better than some local TV stations. Geez. The damage is heartbreaking. But, this was forecast very well by models and people, which is excellent.
Just got a radar indication that the tornado that struck Idabel, OK is at least EF4+.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Following these storms today from the metro east has been exhausting, and I didn’t even need to leave my Dallas apartment today to observe a rotating updraft base on a weak supercell that passed to my west, and a weak funnel along the leading edge of the final squall line (which I believe may have been part of the circulation that ultimately went on to prompt the tornado warning in Rockwall county).
I can’t imagine what those who live east of the metro are dealing with tonight. So many tornadoes tonight, many of them strong.
2 nights ago, when I posted a sounding from the insane 0z NAM, I felt sick to my stomach. It’s fortunate that the system’s timing was faster than the NAM by enough to keep the heavily populated metro out of the worst of the outbreak, but it’s crazy that the high-end parameters it depicted actually verified further east. I believe it was the sped-up timing, leading to insufficient time in the warm sector for lapse rates to increase, that spared the metro and caused these storms to take their time in organizing.
I can’t imagine what those who live east of the metro are dealing with tonight. So many tornadoes tonight, many of them strong.
2 nights ago, when I posted a sounding from the insane 0z NAM, I felt sick to my stomach. It’s fortunate that the system’s timing was faster than the NAM by enough to keep the heavily populated metro out of the worst of the outbreak, but it’s crazy that the high-end parameters it depicted actually verified further east. I believe it was the sped-up timing, leading to insufficient time in the warm sector for lapse rates to increase, that spared the metro and caused these storms to take their time in organizing.
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- jasons2k
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
For my area…
Looks like any discrete / scattered pre-frontal cells are falling apart at this point. Instability is down a notch now with the loss of daytime heating. Any rain and action will come from the main line which is becoming linear at this point. I’ll probably get 1/4 - 1/2” and a bunch of junk in the yard.
Looks like any discrete / scattered pre-frontal cells are falling apart at this point. Instability is down a notch now with the loss of daytime heating. Any rain and action will come from the main line which is becoming linear at this point. I’ll probably get 1/4 - 1/2” and a bunch of junk in the yard.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
There's been a report of a Gate-to-Gate shear of 263 mph from one of the earlier violent tornadoes, but I can't figure out which one.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Horrible damage from last night, will be watching for the first light drones.
Idabel, OK
[youtube]https://youtu.be/9Lmw71LI_WI[/youtube]
Simms to New Boston, TX
[youtube]https://youtu.be/DgkJ2aalucs[/youtube]
Powderly, TX (north of Paris, TX)
[youtube]https://youtu.be/6r6e91o8_hw[/youtube]
Idabel, OK
[youtube]https://youtu.be/9Lmw71LI_WI[/youtube]
Simms to New Boston, TX
[youtube]https://youtu.be/DgkJ2aalucs[/youtube]
Powderly, TX (north of Paris, TX)
[youtube]https://youtu.be/6r6e91o8_hw[/youtube]
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
00z Euro EPS is hinting at the chance for some winter weather across N. Texas and Oklahoma in the 18-20th range.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
bubba hotep wrote:00z Euro EPS is hinting at the chance for some winter weather across N. Texas and Oklahoma in the 18-20th range.
Not just that, NWS-Norman has mentioned the possibility of snow in their forecast area Next Thursday
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
First Light Drone over Idabel, OK
[youtube]https://youtu.be/jivtzQt49Cw[/youtube]
[youtube]https://youtu.be/jivtzQt49Cw[/youtube]
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Just a guess but it looks like a lot of EF3 type damage from the video.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Daily SOI is back to back negative first in a while (late August). November for it has trended down, falling. Good sign regime change 2nd half of the month. Colder and stormy, 500mb becomes favorable.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Powderly, TX Drone
[youtube]https://youtu.be/NCd13UlOEns[/youtube]
[youtube]https://youtu.be/NCd13UlOEns[/youtube]
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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