ATL: NICOLE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

Melbourne Int'l wind gusting to 67 mph.

Nov 10, 2:09 am 75 73 94 NNE 36G67 2.00

[SouthernBreeze]

Hurricane Nicole Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022
200 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022

...2 AM EST POSITION UPDATE OF NICOLE...
...STRONG WINDS, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND WAVES, AND HEAVY RAINS
CONTINUE AS NICOLE NEARS THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA...

NOAA buoy 41009, located about 25 miles east of Cape Canaveral,
Florida, recently reported a sustained wind of 49 mph (79 km/h) and
a wind gust to 65 mph (104 km/h). A weather station at Patrick Air
Force Base recently reported a sustained wind of 53 mph (85 km/h)
with a wind gust of 61 mph (98 km/h).

A NOAA tide gauge at Fernandina Beach, Florida observed a water
level of 4.5 feet above Mean Higher High Water.

SUMMARY OF 200 AM EST...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 80.1W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM E OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES

[AJC3]

Track-wise, this reminds me of the first Hurricane I worked after arriving at WFO MLB...Erin in '95, which was also a Cat 1 landfall along the Florida east coast in the same general area.

[youtube]https://youtu.be/4jBTqZQ_lHw[/youtube]

[Jr0d]

The buoy 20miles east of Port Canaveral is reporting near hurricane force gusts and seas in excess of 30ft.
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=41009

30 ft is on the high end of theoretical wave height there given the depth.

I will be surprised if Cocoa Beach pier is intact tomorrow morning

[NDG]

Buoy east of Cape Canaveral now reporting 32'+ waves, winds gusting to hurricane force winds.
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=41009

[NDG]

Brevard County now getting hit by the northern eyewall, eye center about to make landfall close to Vero Beach.

[Jr0d]

With my amateur eyes, it looks like Nichole is tightening up as she is making landfall. Good thing she is running out of water.

For coastal Brevard county, conditions still may deteriorate further. Fortunately the worst is happening during low tide, minimizing storm surge and beach erosion problems.

[LandoWill]

just drrizle here, not much wind at all here on the west coast so far

[PavelGaborik10]

Watching Reeds stream right now as he's in the northern eyewall and it's a tad underwhelming relative to what I was expecting.

[NDG]

Daytona Beach wind gusting to 72 mph.

Nov 10, 2:40 am 76 73 90 NE 53G72

[NDG]

If Josh Morgerman stayed in Jensen Beach he missed the eye center, I hope he took my advise to get to Vero Beach.

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1590599196155207682

[NDG]

Near Vero Beach official landfall, great job by the models that showed a more northward landfall.

 https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1590616340934856705

[PavelGaborik10]

I'd expect the NHC to declare landfall here any moment.

Edit : they beat me to it.

[NDG]

Vero Beach airport reported calm winds and pressure down to 981.8mb, 79 degrees with 79 degrees dewpoint, pure tropical.
Things are going to be a lot more windy here in Orlando than expected with that more northerly track.

Nov 10, 3:00 am 79 79 100 WSW 5 1.25 Rain, Mist SCT006 SCT013 OVC019 28.98 29.00

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries? ... B&hours=72

[NDG]

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1590617892654960640

[Hurricane Mike]

Landfall video update on Nicole for the night owls
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c6feLYwUuQs

[bob rulz]

How would we expect the SLS to hold up to this? Any real threat or is it just not strong enough?

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1590627217255858177

[NDG]

Starting to get windy here in Orlando.

 https://twitter.com/NDGMETCHEF/status/1590628589434609664