Texas Fall 2022
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TropicalTundra
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Is there any shot that the metro gets snow or any hazardous weather? Going to be in FW from Friday to Sunday.
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Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
Re: Texas Fall 2022
TropicalTundra wrote:Is there any shot that the metro gets snow or any hazardous weather? Going to be in FW from Friday to Sunday.
Best odds still in Oklahoma. System ejection and quality of cold air first half of the week. Theres tonight's front and maybe 2 more early week each reinforcing. The big one comes towards the end of the week once the -EPO bombs out and cold mass to the north dives into the US, very cold for November standards with that one. Too far out for wintry details on that one, if at all yet.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Ntxw wrote:TropicalTundra wrote:Is there any shot that the metro gets snow or any hazardous weather? Going to be in FW from Friday to Sunday.
Best odds still in Oklahoma. System ejection and quality of cold air first half of the week. Theres tonight's front and maybe 2 more early week each reinforcing. The big one comes towards the end of the week once the -EPO bombs out and cold mass to the north dives into the US, very cold for November standards with that one. Too far out for wintry details on that one, if at all yet.
Speaking of that, the GFS and GEFS are back at it again on the 0z runs, the GFS has Snow for my area once again and the GEFS snowfall signal has gotten stronger again for next week.
Both have a noticeable uptick for Friday, but I'm thinking a dusting at best.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Brent
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:TropicalTundra wrote:Is there any shot that the metro gets snow or any hazardous weather? Going to be in FW from Friday to Sunday.
Best odds still in Oklahoma. System ejection and quality of cold air first half of the week. Theres tonight's front and maybe 2 more early week each reinforcing. The big one comes towards the end of the week once the -EPO bombs out and cold mass to the north dives into the US, very cold for November standards with that one. Too far out for wintry details on that one, if at all yet.
Speaking of that, the GFS and GEFS are back at it again on the 0z runs, the GFS has Snow for my area once again and the GEFS snowfall signal has gotten stronger again for next week.
Both have a noticeable uptick for Friday, but I'm thinking a dusting at best.
The NWS here doesn't seem impressed by Monday but we'll see(was really downplaying an actual accumulating snow event)
Meanwhile it's 43 degrees on my phone and pouring rain
winter has arrived
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Wife has daughter duty in the morning and I don't work till late tomorrow so I may as well stay up and wait for the front. Should be here soon I hope.
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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Nice Thunderstorm over my place right now in Ponder. Lots of lighting and heavy rain. Woke up the family from the thunder. Already picked up .45" of rain in 10min.......
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Captmorg70
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:Nice Thunderstorm over my place right now in Ponder. Lots of lighting and heavy rain. Woke up the family from the thunder. Already picked up .45" of rain in 10min.......
Made it home right before it started. The thunder set off a couple car alarms down the street lol
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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Captmorg70 wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Nice Thunderstorm over my place right now in Ponder. Lots of lighting and heavy rain. Woke up the family from the thunder. Already picked up .45" of rain in 10min.......
Made it home right before it started. The thunder set off a couple car alarms down the street lol
Nice, that was quite the storm for sure. I'm just hoping it all blows threw and the school can have the Veteran’s Day Parade still. Might be a little chilly and windy but rain I'm afraid would cancel it.
At least all of this rain is making it easy for Open Infra to dig and get our Fiber installed. Can't wait to get off my 25/2 DSL and get that 500/500 for $55 a month!
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:Captmorg70 wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Nice Thunderstorm over my place right now in Ponder. Lots of lighting and heavy rain. Woke up the family from the thunder. Already picked up .45" of rain in 10min.......
Made it home right before it started. The thunder set off a couple car alarms down the street lol
Nice, that was quite the storm for sure. I'm just hoping it all blows threw and the school can have the Veteran’s Day Parade still. Might be a little chilly and windy but rain I'm afraid would cancel it.
At least all of this rain is making it easy for Open Infra to dig and get our Fiber installed. Can't wait to get off my 25/2 DSL and get that 500/500 for $55 a month!
Looks like round 2 about to head in.
1 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Captmorg70
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Captmorg70 wrote:
Made it home right before it started. The thunder set off a couple car alarms down the street lol
Nice, that was quite the storm for sure. I'm just hoping it all blows threw and the school can have the Veteran’s Day Parade still. Might be a little chilly and windy but rain I'm afraid would cancel it.
At least all of this rain is making it easy for Open Infra to dig and get our Fiber installed. Can't wait to get off my 25/2 DSL and get that 500/500 for $55 a month!
Looks like round 2 about to head in.
Heavier rain than expected. We might get a quick inch!
1 likes
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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Captmorg70 wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:
Nice, that was quite the storm for sure. I'm just hoping it all blows threw and the school can have the Veteran’s Day Parade still. Might be a little chilly and windy but rain I'm afraid would cancel it.
At least all of this rain is making it easy for Open Infra to dig and get our Fiber installed. Can't wait to get off my 25/2 DSL and get that 500/500 for $55 a month!
Looks like round 2 about to head in.
Heavier rain than expected. We might get a quick inch!
1.04" total between the two storms. Not bad.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
6z GFS is really cranking up the snowfall totals in Oklahoma! 
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/6z-GFS-on-Kuchera-Ratio.png
6z GEFS snowfall signal has increased once again!
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/6z-GEFS.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/6z-GFS-on-Kuchera-Ratio.png
6z GEFS snowfall signal has increased once again!
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/6z-GEFS.png
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
- Category 5
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
This is from Yesterday from BenNollWeather
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1590705048988037123
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1590705048988037123
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Snow has been reported in Frederick, OK
3 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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TropicalTundra
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- Location: Temple, Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Iceresistance wrote:Snow has been reported in Frederick, OK
Looks like snow bands are forming in the TX panhandle and NW OK. Not really sure how most models missed this.
2 likes
Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9288
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
TropicalTundra wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Snow has been reported in Frederick, OK
Looks like snow bands are forming in the TX panhandle and NW OK. Not really sure how most models missed this.
Models kept underestimating the cold air plunging in. It got down to 34°F. Its now 35°F with a Wind Chill of 24°F.
2 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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bubba hotep
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- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Cold and rainy. Feels like winter out there today
3 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
bubba hotep wrote:Cold and rainy. Feels like winter out there today
It's fairly sunny here but the temps are struggling to rise
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#neversummer
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Maybe some rain for the SA area?
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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weatherdude1108
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
A few heavy rain bands here. 53 and dropping!
Last rain band had hail (marble-size) for about 30 seconds.
Last rain band had hail (marble-size) for about 30 seconds.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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