Texas Winter 2022-2023
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Getting worried about the drier trends…I want snow LOL
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Graduate Meteorology Student at the University of Oklahoma!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Meanwhile down in Austin, getting some heavy downpours, lightning and thunder currently. Good thing it's not below freezing now...
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I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The GFS from 0z and 6z has trended drier, but is it still under the Windshield Wiper effect for a little while longer?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
JDawg512 wrote:Meanwhile down in Austin, getting some heavy downpours, lightning and thunder currently. Good thing it's not below freezing now...
Yeah, I just started getting moderate to heave downpours here as well with some thunder claps. Nice to have a decent rain before the Siberian Express.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
ICON is still trending west, maybe a double strike for this one?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:ICON is still trending west, maybe a double strike for this one?
The 12z ICON is already running? Or are you referring to 6z?
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- Texas Snow
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Yes 12Z ICON just started.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Latest NAM coming in much faster with Arctic front...21F DFW by Noon Thursday. Precip is going to be really tough with this one, extremely dry air moving in quickly. For North Texas, may get quick freezing drizzle/flurries on the front end but it ends abruptly.
The Big Story though, Textbook Blue Norther...as drastic of a temp drop as you'll ever find in this part of the world!!!
Those on the coast could see a 50 F temp drop in less than 12 hours. I believe the documented World Record is 67 F drop in 10 hours.

The Big Story though, Textbook Blue Norther...as drastic of a temp drop as you'll ever find in this part of the world!!!


Last edited by orangeblood on Mon Dec 19, 2022 10:09 am, edited 2 times in total.
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- Tireman4
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
This one is going to hurt. That will be a massive drop in temperatures.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cpv17 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:ICON is still trending west, maybe a double strike for this one?
The 12z ICON is already running? Or are you referring to 6z?
I was referring to 6z trends compared to the past several runs.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cerlin wrote:Getting worried about the drier trends…I want snow LOL
Yeah I dunno about the snow here but we'll see. We've had all this moisture lately and now when temps plunge ???
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
orangeblood wrote:Latest NAM coming in much faster with Arctic front...21F DFW by Noon Thursday. Precip is going to be really tough with this one, extremely dry air moving in quickly. For North Texas, may get quick freezing drizzle/flurries on the front end but it ends abruptly.
The Big Story though, Textbook Blue Norther...as drastic of a temp drop as you'll ever find in this part of the world!!!Those on the coast could see a 50 F temp drop in less than 12 hours. I believe the documented World Record is 67 F drop in 10 hours.
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/nam-218-all/scentus/t2m_f/1671451200/1671732000-7SDMVigSdvY.png
Just incredible. What time are we looking at frontal passage? I want to be sure to be able to feel this bad boy blow in.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
orangeblood wrote:Latest NAM coming in much faster with Arctic front...21F DFW by Noon Thursday. Precip is going to be really tough with this one, extremely dry air moving in quickly. For North Texas, may get quick freezing drizzle/flurries on the front end but it ends abruptly.
The Big Story though, Textbook Blue Norther...as drastic of a temp drop as you'll ever find in this part of the world!!!Those on the coast could see a 50 F temp drop in less than 12 hours. I believe the documented World Record is 67 F drop in 10 hours.
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/nam-218-all/scentus/t2m_f/1671451200/1671732000-7SDMVigSdvY.png
Spearfish South Dakota.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
gpsnowman wrote:orangeblood wrote:Latest NAM coming in much faster with Arctic front...21F DFW by Noon Thursday. Precip is going to be really tough with this one, extremely dry air moving in quickly. For North Texas, may get quick freezing drizzle/flurries on the front end but it ends abruptly.
The Big Story though, Textbook Blue Norther...as drastic of a temp drop as you'll ever find in this part of the world!!!Those on the coast could see a 50 F temp drop in less than 12 hours. I believe the documented World Record is 67 F drop in 10 hours.
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/nam-218-all/scentus/t2m_f/1671451200/1671732000-7SDMVigSdvY.png
Just incredible. What time are we looking at frontal passage? I want to be sure to be able to feel this bad boy blow in.
NAM has it blowing thru DFW between 6am and 9am Thursday morning, wind gusts up to 35-40 mph
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Let’s face it, Texas and Louisiana aren’t getting any frozen precip out of this. We’ll have to wait for the next system….
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
orangeblood wrote:gpsnowman wrote:orangeblood wrote:Latest NAM coming in much faster with Arctic front...21F DFW by Noon Thursday. Precip is going to be really tough with this one, extremely dry air moving in quickly. For North Texas, may get quick freezing drizzle/flurries on the front end but it ends abruptly.
The Big Story though, Textbook Blue Norther...as drastic of a temp drop as you'll ever find in this part of the world!!!Those on the coast could see a 50 F temp drop in less than 12 hours. I believe the documented World Record is 67 F drop in 10 hours.
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/nam-218-all/scentus/t2m_f/1671451200/1671732000-7SDMVigSdvY.png
Just incredible. What time are we looking at frontal passage? I want to be sure to be able to feel this bad boy blow in.
NAM has it blowing thru DFW between 6am and 9am Thursday morning, wind gusts up to 35-40 mph
Thanks. I will be getting up early to witness the temp drop.
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Nice little rain event this morning in the Austin area. Got about 1.5" of rain in several hours at the Portastorm Weather Center in scenic south Austin. 

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Portastorm wrote:Nice little rain event this morning in the Austin area. Got about 1.5" of rain in several hours at the Portastorm Weather Center in scenic south Austin.
Good to see central Texas cash in before the arctic hammer. I wonder if the San Antonio folks got any. They need it badly.
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- SnowintheFalls
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
harp wrote:Let’s face it, Texas and Louisiana aren’t getting any frozen precip out of this. We’ll have to wait for the next system….
True, but at least we will have a cold Christmas for a change. No shorts this Christmas!
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