Iceresistance wrote:Increasing number of Euro Ensembles are showing a true SSW in February, someone named Mark Margavage (AKA MeteoMark) has confirmed that trend on Twitter.
The question was never is there going to be a significant warming event, it was always there. For a period of time the usual suspicions (during a mild period) was will it be enough to effect the AO and troposphere alongside who feels that effect.
But noted again, it is a bottom up to top down. The AO has mostly been negative this winter, what we want to do is tank it and or sustain it for when the Pacific becomes favorable.