Texas Winter 2022-2023
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The FW NWS has changed their tune this morning
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1
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Tammie - Sherman TX
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Same here … NWS Austin/San Antonio is all in on the NAM. Ice storm cometh (at least for the Hill Country)!


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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Tammie wrote:The FW NWS has changed their tune this morning
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1
Now that’s what you call an About Face! Would expect WSWs to be issued at some point today…a blend of short range guidance looks like best combo of sub freezing temps and highest QPF puts DFW right in the bullseye unfortunately. Likely meeting Ice Storm Warning criteria it appears
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
I'm still holding out hope for sleet or snow as the week progresses. Also I anticipate being home with my daughter Tuesday and Wednesday due to school cancellations.
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- TropicalTundra
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Both NAM and HRRR would be bad scenarios especially during rush hour. Not many people likely expecting it too. It’s going to get bad and fast
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Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
All observations I post are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.
- Haris
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Haris wrote:[url]https://i.ibb.co/F0H8fTM/HRRRSGP-prec-ptype-048.png [/url]
Ice storm warning. It’s 39 at my place already apparently about to start getting some rain. Wind howling good.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Gotwood wrote:Haris wrote:[url]https://i.ibb.co/F0H8fTM/HRRRSGP-prec-ptype-048.png [/url]
Ice storm warning. It’s 39 at my place already apparently about to start getting some rain. Wind howling good.
Yeah the front is blowing through. Got cloudy quick with stong north wind.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Drizzle City up here in Sherman. Kinda surprised it’s starting so soon.
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Tammie - Sherman TX
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Tammie wrote:Drizzle City up here in Sherman. Kinda surprised it’s starting so soon.
Misting like crazy here, I'm very worried about it since it's 22°F outside
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:Tammie wrote:Drizzle City up here in Sherman. Kinda surprised it’s starting so soon.
Misting like crazy here, I'm very worried about it since it's 22°F outside
As you should be that’s not a good sign.
Temps are dropping fast here. Very curious to see if we reach freezing or it hovers in the mid 30s until tonight.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Gotwood wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Tammie wrote:Drizzle City up here in Sherman. Kinda surprised it’s starting so soon.
Misting like crazy here, I'm very worried about it since it's 22°F outside
As you should be that’s not a good sign.
Temps are dropping fast here. Very curious to see if we reach freezing or it hovers in the mid 30s until tonight.
That’s what I was thinking too. Where are you located?
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Tammie - Sherman TX
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Tammie wrote:Gotwood wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Misting like crazy here, I'm very worried about it since it's 22°F outside
As you should be that’s not a good sign.
Temps are dropping fast here. Very curious to see if we reach freezing or it hovers in the mid 30s until tonight.
That’s what I was thinking too. Where are you located?
I’m in Brock, SW Parker county.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Front has cleared DFW and we will fall the rest of today towards freezing. Most of Oklahoma is in the low to mid 20s and freezing from WF to Abilene or just slightly east of there.
NAM has a little deeper cold and sleet for the metroplex while frzng rain threat increases from Waco to Austin.
NAM has a little deeper cold and sleet for the metroplex while frzng rain threat increases from Waco to Austin.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
NBM has gone wild. 2.5" ice for Abilene, 1" for NW DFW, 0.5" for DFW and 0.25" east of DFW.
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Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
I can confirm that I have a thin glaze of Ice outside right now.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ralph's Weather wrote:NBM has gone wild. 2.5" ice for Abilene, 1" for NW DFW, 0.5" for DFW and 0.25" east of DFW.
Can I see it?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Trends are definitely not headed in the right direction based on latest runs of both HRRR extended and NBM from the HC into northern sections of TX.




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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
orangeblood wrote:Tammie wrote:The FW NWS has changed their tune this morning
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1
Now that’s what you call an About Face! Would expect WSWs to be issued at some point today…a blend of short range guidance looks like best combo of sub freezing temps and highest QPF puts DFW right in the bullseye unfortunately. Likely meeting Ice Storm Warning criteria it appears
Being potential impacts and also multi-day and little lead time at this juncture, WSWs now would be a wise decision. Last thing you want is a bunch of folks going out to prepare for it tomorrow.
Coverage of any ice from WPC probability.

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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ntxw wrote:orangeblood wrote:Tammie wrote:The FW NWS has changed their tune this morning
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=1
Now that’s what you call an About Face! Would expect WSWs to be issued at some point today…a blend of short range guidance looks like best combo of sub freezing temps and highest QPF puts DFW right in the bullseye unfortunately. Likely meeting Ice Storm Warning criteria it appears
Being potential impacts and also multi-day and little lead time at this juncture, WSWs now would be a wise decision. Last thing you want is a bunch of folks going out to prepare for it tomorrow.
Coverage of any ice from WPC probability.
https://i.imgur.com/I2xswHn.gif
Yep, most friends/family have no clue about this due to the botched forecasts from local outlets and sorry, but even NWS office. Most people just glance at a forecast over the next 5 days and move on…when you put out a mid 50s forecast for Monday-Wednesday people anchor it and never look back. A mid 30s with possible frozen precip gets their attention and people pay attention more regularly.
Unfortunately it wasn’t done until now, so agreed get the word out quickly/WSW asap is best course IMO
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